- April 27, 2016 at 4:03 pm #42058
The Advid Insider
(2-0 this week)
Blue Jays – OVER 8
RockiesApril 27, 2016 at 4:05 pm #42059
Apr 27 ’16, 8:05 PM
MLB | Brewers vs Cubs
Play on: Brewers +313
25* graded play on Milwaukee as they take on the Cubs in NL action set to start at 8:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Milwaukee will win this game. Arrieta is on the hill for the Cubs and coming off a no-hitter. Generally speaking, and not related specifically to the SIM projections, starters coming off a no-hitter are not on the ‘A’ game – expection is that Vandermeer fellow.
Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 29-22 mark good for 57% winners, BUT has made a whopping 45.1 units/unit wagered averaging a +231 DOG. Play on all underdogs with a money line of +200 or more (MILWAUKEE) struggling hitting team batting less than .250 with a cold starting pitcher posting an ERA more than 7.00 over his last 3 starts and is now facing a good NL starting pitcher posting an ERA less than 3.70. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. The Chicago Cubs are a money losing 457-411 (-93.3 Units) against the money line vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season since 1997; 432-445 (-116.7 Units) against the money line vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game since 1997; 366-392 (-100.8 Units) against the money line vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .250 or worse since 1997.
Fundamental Discussion Points After a tiring no-hitter performance most starters pitch down a peg in their next performance. Arrieta is also facing Aaron Hill who has a .412 batting average and a 1.118 OPS against him. Alex Presley is .500 with and OPS of 1.250 against Arrieta as well. Arrieta won’t fair as well as you or Vegas might expect. Pick Milwaukee Brewers.April 27, 2016 at 4:07 pm #42062
Rockies -105 ML
2100 for 2000
Gotta respect this small move to the Rockies and the under. Gray struck out a bunch of Dodgers and the dodgers don’t strike out a lot. I respect the move on Gray that he will throw a good game. 2k play.
Angels vs Royals
under 7.5 -120
1200 for 1000
Leaned Angels before the series and I like them to sweep and get a great start from the Tropeano kid. Chris Young bounce back and strong sensitive line juice to the under after a big hitting night last night. 3-2 type ballgame.April 27, 2016 at 4:35 pm #42064
8* Texas Rangers -128April 27, 2016 at 5:11 pm #42065
Cleveland Indians -105April 27, 2016 at 5:12 pm #42067
4% Arizona D’Backs-120April 27, 2016 at 5:13 pm #42069
3% LA Angels -114April 27, 2016 at 5:13 pm #42071
5% Chicago Whitesox +132April 27, 2016 at 5:14 pm #42073
3% Tampa Bay Rays-115April 27, 2016 at 5:14 pm #42074
No Limit Sports
5* UNDER 8.5 – whitesoxApril 27, 2016 at 5:16 pm #42076
(L) 4* Under 7.5 – giants
3* Under 8 – indiansApril 27, 2016 at 5:16 pm #42077
4% Detroit Tigers -110April 27, 2016 at 5:19 pm #42079
st. louis – OVER 9April 27, 2016 at 5:21 pm #42082
Sports Insurance Adjusters
Washington RL -1.5 Even
Boston RL -1.5 +110
Free Play: NY Mets RL -1.5 +105April 27, 2016 at 5:24 pm #42083
COLORADO +110 over Pittsburgh
8:40 P.M. EST
FREE PICKS are now 45-27 (63%) the last 72 days!
Our Baseball “Steam Team” enjoyed another 2-0 sweep last night and one of the winners was the Pirates, but tonight we’ll fade Pittsburgh and go with the Rockies. Some pitchers simply can’t handle the high altitude of Coors Field and it appears Pittsburgh’s Jon Niese is one of those guys. In three starts on this mound, the southpaw has compiled an ugly 7.94 ERA, allowing 36 hits in just 22 innings of work. That’s enough evidence for us to take a shot on the home dog Rockies.
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