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MLB Tuesday Service Plays 9/29/15

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    Baseball Crusher
    Chicago Cubs -125
    over Cincinnati Reds
    (System Record: 83-4, lost last 4 games)
    Overall Record: 83-81-3

    Oakland Athletics + LA Angels – OVER 8.5

    Milwaukee Brewers + San Diego Padres – OVER 7

    Baltimore O’s + Toronto Blue Jays – UNDER 8.5


    StatFox Super Situations™ – FoxSheets


    Play Against – Road teams (BOSTON) poor baserunning team – averaging 0.5 or less SB’s/game on the season, after allowing 1 runs or less 3 straight games
    41-17 since 1997. ( 70.7% | 24.0 units )
    5-2 this year. ( 71.4% | 2.9 units )

    StatFox Situational Power Trends™ – FoxSheets


    LA ANGELS are 35-12 (+17.9 Units) against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175 this season.
    The average score was: LA ANGELS (4.2) , OPPONENT (2.8)



    903 4* METS OVER the total

    917 5* TORONTO
    over Baltimore
    Granted RHP Gonzalez has successful recently vs. the Birds, but his unit is now depressed fading into the season climax. RHP STROMAN of Toronto has had great success recently and should out last the O’s ace. Remember umpire Danley goes 2-7 with the home unit in the series. Plus the Jays have backed Stroman lately winning 4 straight.



    1* PLAY Toronto Blue Jays



    The Brewers are coming off a weekend split with the Cardinals and head to San Diego for their last road series of the season. With nothing on the line to close the season, Milwaukee is making a move to the minors for tonight and the season finale on Sunday. Jorge Lopez will be making his Major League debut tonight and he should be able to success right out of the gate. Lopez enjoyed a breakout season in Double-A where he posted a 2.26 ERA and 137:52 K:BB ratio in 24 starts.

    Additionally, he was named the Brewers’ Minor League Pitcher of the Year. The Padres are 3-3 on this current homestand and they have struggled of late in these spots as they are 1-5 in their last six series openers. San Diego turns to Tyson Ross and while he has been pitching well, the wins are not coming as his offense has let him down. He has tallied five straight quality outings but the Padres have lost his last four, scoring just nine runs total. We also have a great situation on our side as we play against home favorites with a money line of -110 or higher that are revenging two straight losses where opponent scored 8 or more runs, with a winning percentage of between .460 and .499 on the season. This situation is 38-20 (65.5 percent) since 1997.
    10* (911) Milwaukee Brewers

    The Angels have caught fire at the right time as they have won six straight games to move to within two games of Texas in the American League West and a half game of Houston for the second Wild Card spot. Five of these wins have been by one run so a lot could have gone the other way. Nicholas Tropeano will be making his sixth start since re-entering the rotation in July and he has been very average, posting a 5.63 ERA in those first five starts. His numbers are slightly worse at home and in four nighttime starts, he has a 6.86 ERA and 1.68 WHIP. Oakland is out to play spoiler as it has been a miserable season and a miserable run of late.

    The A’s have lost eight of their last nine games and while the Angels have been on the right side of one run games, going 33-16, they have been the opposite, going 18-34. This is the reason why they are just -32 run in scoring differential while Los Angeles is -13. Chris Bassitt has pitched good enough to have more than one win but his offense has let him down by scoring three runs or less in eight of 11 starts including scoring only one run six times. He has allowed three runs or less in all but one of his starts and he is catching a very inflated number here.
    10* (935) Oakland A’s



    MLB Home Field Game of the Month

    Take: (920) MLB Home Field Game of the Month: Cleveland Indians.

    Minnesota has a losing road record and the Twins are 1-4 in Kyle Gibson’s last 5 starts. Gibson (10-11) has a losing road record with a 4.43 ERA and has an ERA over 20 against Cleveland this season! Gibson was bombarded for six runs on seven hits (two of them homers) in just 2.2 innings against the Indians on Thursday. The Indians are 7-2 at home against a right-handed starter and 15-5 in their last 20 home games. Cody Anderson (6-3, 3.31 ERA) has excellent stuff with the Indians 4-0 his last four starts. The Indians are 68-33 in their last 101 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
    Play Cleveland!

    MLB Bookie Busting Tripleheader!
    09/29 07:10 PM EST MLB (929) MIAMI MARLINS VS (930) TAMPA BAY RAYS

    Take: (929) 5-Star Diamond Dog: Miami Marlins.

    Miami is playing well the last week, as well as 5-0 against teams with losing records. Miami starter Adam Conley (3.93 ERA) has excellent stuff, with the team 7-1 his last 8 starts. He’s allowed 1, 0 and 2 runs his last 19+ innings. The Marlins are 4-0 in Conley’s last 4 road starts and the team is 19-9 in their last 28 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record. Tampa Bay has a bad offense and is 2-6 against a lefty starter. The Rays are 3-10 in Matt Moore’s (6.48 ERA) last 13 starts.
    Play Miami!


    Take: (917) 10-Star AL East Division Dominator: Toronto Bluejays.

    The Orioles entered the weekend with a .500 record and an outside shot at the second AL wild-card before they were shut out in three straight games at the Boston Red Sox. Baltimore managed 12 hits – 10 singles – and managed to advance only two runners as far as third base in the series. The Orioles have lost 6 of 7 started by Miguel Gonzalez (9-11, 4.85 ERA). He faces a Toronto team on a 40-14 run and is 15-6 on the road. Marcus Stroman (3-0, 1.89 ERA) has great stuff and shut the Yankees out over seven innings Wednesday, striking out five while allowing just five hits and a walk in a 4-0 win. And the Orioles are 1-6 in Tillman’s last 7 starts vs. Blue Jays, 0-5 at home against the Blue Jays.
    Play Toronto!


    Take: (923) KANSAS CITY ROYALS

    Reason: Will the real Jeff Samardzija stand up? He’s off a 1-hitter over the Tigers in 9 innings. However, that was a Detroit team that has packed it in. Unfortunately, it has been mostly doom and gloom in between gems, as he had a 7.43 ERA, .301 BAA, and 15 home runs allowed over his previous 12 outings. Kansas City is in town capable of winning with power and speed on the bases. The White Sox are 2-8 in Samardzija’s last 10 starts, 0-7 at home. The Royals are 21-9 in the last 30 meetings, including 19-7 at Chicago.
    Play the KC Royals.



    100* Over 7 – Padres/Brewers

    50* Cubs -140


    2015 Baseball Information

    National League
    Cardinals @ Pirates

    Wacha is 2-2, 6.58 in his last five starts (over 6-0 last six).

    Morton is 1-4, 7.39 in his last six starts (over 3-0 last three).

    Pirates got shut out the last two nights after winning eight in row before that (under 8-2 last ten); they won three of last five games with St Louis– over is 6-3-1 in last eight games. Cardinals won seven of last ten games (over 4-2-1 last seven games).

    Mets @ Phillies
    Colon is 3-1, 2.02 in his last five starts (under 3-2).

    Buchanan is 0-4, 11.70 in his last five starts (over 5-2-2 last nine).

    Mets won nine of last ten games with Phillies (over 8-2); New York won four games in row, scoring 36 runs- their last six went over total. Philly lost seven of last ten games (under 6-3 last nine).

    Nationals @ Braves
    Roark is 0-2, 6.75 in his last three starts (over 7-2 last nine).

    Wisler is 1-2, 3.79 in his last three starts (over 6-3 last nine).

    Washington won its last four games with Atlanta (over 3-1); Nationals lost five of last seven games (over 3-2 last five) overall. Braves lost last three in a row, allowing 27 runs (over 5-0 last five).

    Cubs @ Reds
    Haren is 1-1, 5.40 in his last six starts (over 5-1).

    Smith is 0-2, 8.02 in five MLB starts (over 5-0).

    Cubs-Reds split last ten games; five of last six went over. Chicago is 7-4 in its last eleven games; last six stayed under. Cincinnati lost its last eight games, with last five all going over the total.

    Brewers @ Padres
    Lopez is making first MLB start; he was 12-5, 2.26 in 24 starts in Southern League (AA) this season.

    Ross is 2-2, 2.82 in his last six starts (under 3-1 last four).

    Milwaukee won last three games with San Diego (over 3-1 last four); Brewers are 3-2 in last five games (over 5-3-1 last nine). Padres won four of last seven games; six of their last nine went over.

    Dodgers @ Giants
    Kershaw is 5-1, 2.30 in his last six starts (under 5-2 last seven).

    Bumgarner is 1-1, 1.88 in his last three starts (over 5-2 last seven).

    Dodgers won four of last five games with the Giants; over is 5-4-1 in last ten series games. LA lost eight of last ten games (over 5-3 last eight). Giants are 5-3 in last eight games, with five of last six going over total.

    Rockies @ Diamondbacks
    Bergman is 1-1, 8.22 in his two starts this season (over 1-1).

    Ray is 2-2, 2.39 in his last five starts (under 7-3 last ten).

    Arizona is 5-3 in its last eight games with Colorado; three of last four in series stayed under the total. Rockies won last three games, scoring 27 runs (over is 7-3 in last ten). D’backs are 6-4 in last ten gmes (under 6-4).

    American League
    Blue Jays @ Orioles

    Stroman is 3-0, 1.89 in his three starts (under 2-1) this season.

    Gonzalez is 0-3, 8.59 in his last three starts (under 3-1 last four).

    Toronto is 5-4 in last nine games with Baltimore (over 3-2 last five). Blue Jays won six of last seven games (under 6-3-2 last 11). Orioles lost last four games, scoring a total of three runs; under is 5-1-1 in their last seven games.

    Red Sox @ Bronx
    Porcello is 0-2, 6.23 in his last two starts (under 6-3 last nine).

    Pineda is 3-0, 3.14 in his last five starts (under 6-4 last ten).

    Boston lost seven of last 11 games with New York; five of last six stayed under the total. Red Sox won four in row, allowing one run; their last seven stayed under the total. Bronx is 6-4 in its last ten games (under 5-1 last six).

    Twins @ Indians
    Gibson is 1-2, 4.74 in his last four starts (under 5-2 last seven).

    Anderson is 4-0, 1.38 in his last four starts (over 5-2 last seven).

    Twins won five of last six games with Cleveland (under 6-1 last seven); Twins won six of last eight games overall (under 7-3 last ten). Indians won three of last five; five of their last seven games stayed under the total.

    Royals @ White Sox
    Cueto is 1-0, 3.21 in his last two starts (over 8-0 last eight).

    Samardzija is 2-4, 6.94 in his last six starts (over 5-1).

    Royals lost last three games with Chicago; four of last five series games went over the total. KC lost three of last four games (under 3-1). White Sox lost five of their last six games (under 7-1 in last eight).

    Tigers @ Rangers
    Norris is 0-0, 3.72 in his last four starts (over 3-1).

    Rangers won last eight Hamels starts (4-0, 2.79 last six, over 4-0-1 last five).

    Detroit lost three of last four games with Texas; five of last six series games went under the total. Tigers are 4-5 in last eight games (under 5-3 last eight). Texas won four of last seven games (over 7-1-1 last nine).

    A’s @ Angels
    Bassitt is 0-3, 5.14 in his last three starts (under 5-3 last eight).

    Tropeano is 1-1, 6.50 in his last four starts (over 3-0-1).

    Angels trail Houston by half-game for last Wild Card spot; they’re 7-4 in last 11 vs Oakland (over 7-3-1). Halos won last six games overall. A’s lost eight of last nine games, with last seven going over the total.

    Astros @ Mariners
    Fiers is 0-0, 3.66 in his last three starts (over 3-1-1 last five on road).

    Nuno is 0-2, 11.74 in his last two starts (over 6-2 last eight).

    Astros won their last three games; over is 7-4-1 in their last twelve; they have a half-game lead for last Wild Card slot. Houston lost four of last seven against Seattle (over 9-1-1 in last eleven). Mariners lost last six games (over 5-4 last nine). .

    Marlins @ Rays

    Conley is 3-0, 2.96 in his last five starts (over 5-3-1 last nine).

    Moore is 1-0, 1.32 in his last two starts (under 3-1 last four)

    Marlins won five of last seven games with Tampa Bay; four of last five series games went over total. Miami won its last five games, scoring 27 runs (over 5-2 last seven). Rays lost their last three games (under 3-1-2 last six).

    Win-loss records this year for team with this starting pitcher:
    StL-Pitt– Wacha 21-8; Morton 14-8
    NY-Phil– Colon 15-15; Buchanan 2-11 (0-5 last 5)
    Wsh-Atl– Roark 4-6; Wisler 7-10 (1-7 last 8)
    Chi-Cin– Haren 15-15/5-4; Smith 1-4
    Col-Az– Bergman 1-1; Ray 6-15
    LA-SF– Kershaw 18-13; Bumgarner 19-12
    Mil-SD– Lopez 0-0; Ross 16-16 (0-4 last 4)

    Tor-Balt– Stroman 3-0; Gonzalez 12-13 (1-6 last 7)
    Bos-NY– Porcello 12-14; Pineda 15-10
    Min-Cle– Gibson 15-16; Anderson 9-5
    Det-Tex– Norris 7-4/5-1; Hamels 18-12/8-2 (8-0 last 8)
    KC-Chi– Cueto 14-16/3-8; Samardzija 13-18
    A’s-LAA– Bassitt 3-8 (0-4 last 4); Tropeano 3-3
    Hst-Sea– Fiers 15-14/4-4; Nuno 3-4

    Mia-TB– Conley 8-1; Moore 3-7

    Times this starting pitcher allowed a run in first inning:
    StL-Pitt– Wacha 7-29 (3 of last 4); Morton 8-22
    NY-Phil– Colon 8-30; Buchanan 4-13
    Wsh-Atl– Roark 4-10; Wisler 9-17 (4 of ast 6)
    Chi-Cin– Haren 5-30; Smith 1-5
    Col-Az– Bergman 1-2; Ray 3-21
    LA-SF– Kershaw 7-31; Bumgarner 7-31
    Mil-SD– Lopez 0-0; Ross 9-32

    Tor-Balt– Stroman 0-3; Gonzalez 7-25
    Bos-NY– Porcello 5-26; Pineda 7-25
    Min-Cle– Gibson 9-31; Anderson 4-14
    Det-Tex– Norris 4-11; Hamels 8-30
    KC-Chi– Cueto 9-30; Samardzija 15-31
    A’s-LAA– Bassitt 3-11; Tropeano 2-6
    Hst-Sea– Fiers 5-29; Nuno 4-7

    Mia-TB– Conley 0-9; Moore 5-10

    StL-Pitt– Underdogs won 13 of last 18 Iassogna games.
    LA-SF– Four of last five Demuth games went over.

    Bos-NY– Over is 7-1-1 in last nine Everitt games.
    Tor-Balt– Four of last six Danley games went over.
    Min-Clev– Underdogs won five of last eight Porter games.
    Det-Tex– Underdogs won three of last four Marquez games.
    A’s-LAA– Favorites won ten of last 12 HGibson games.
    Hst-Sea– Under is 12-6 in last eighteen Emmel games.


    Totals 4 You MLB Selections

    2015 Major League TV Rivalry Total of the Year!!!!!
    Boston/New York – Over 8 1/2

    MLB Best Bets

    New York/Philadelphia – Over 8 1/2

    Toronto/Baltimore – Over 8 1/2

    Detroit/texas – Under 8 1/2

    Oakland/Los Angeles – Under 8 1/2






    500K MLB Parlay

    Texas Rangers w/Hamels-200 over
    the Detroit Tigers

    Houston Astros w/Fiers -140 over
    the Seattle Mariners

    Best Bets

    Pittsburgh Pirates w/Morton -115 over
    the St Louis Cardinals

    Chicago Wsox w/Samardzija +115 over
    the Kansas City Royals

    Cincinnati Reds w/Smith +115 over
    the Chicago Cubs


    Cleveland Indians w/Anderson -120 over
    the Minnesota Twins w/Gibson


    Wiseguy Insider

    100* Wiseguy: Los Angeles Angels -160

    100* Wiseguy: Houston Astros -145

    100* Wiseguy: Texas Rangers -1.5 Runline

    100* Wiseguy: Toronto Blue Jays -150



    POD – Toronto Blue Jays -155 (stroman)



    Game: Los Angeles Dodgers (913) @ San Francisco Giants (914)
    Time: Tuesday 09/29 10:15 PM Eastern
    Pick: San Francisco +121 (moneyline)
    Under ordinary circumstances, the San Francisco Giants would probably roll over and play dead here. They will not be defending their World Series win from last season, but can make life miserable for their division rival LA Dodgers, who trail the Mets by two games for home-field advantage throughout the playoffs. They have a tall order tonight in going against Clayton Kershaw. Kershaw went seven consecutive outings allowing two or fewer runs, but has been hittable in his last two, allowing three runs in each. Madison Bumgarner has been every bit of Kershaw’s equal, and with a win here, he still has a shot at a 20-win season as he will likely get a turn on Sunday, if he wins. The Dodgers are an ugly 2-9 in their last 11 on the road vs. a winning team, while the Giants sit at 7-0 at home behind Bumgarner vs. a winning team in his last seven. Back the home dog Giants.



    10 Units Chicago Cubs ML

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