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NBA ♦ Playoffs ♦ Monday 4/18/16

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    7-Unit Play. #521. Take Over 218
    Houston vs. Golden State

    (Monday @ 10:35pm est)

    We roll with the Over here between these two teams and we are aware that Curry is Questionable.

    Frankly, we hope that Curry does not play as that will help the over per our models. But even if Curry does play, we are fine with it as we still feel that this game likely goes over. Only 33% of the public here backs Houston but we suspect they are likely to be a very good active underdog.

    Look, this is a team that scored just 78 points against Golden State and you’d have to think that this team, with this new coaching staff shows some pride here and puts up a decent number of points. This is a team that each time has scored lower than average points, they have bounced-back well. For example, they scored 86 against Dallas and then 115 points right away against Phoenix in their next game. Then, 94 points then 121 points against Milwaukee. Then, 87 points against Atlanta followed by 112 against Toronto. Also, we keep track of Houston coming off bad losses as we like when a team gets a new coaching staff (for example, we think the Brooklyn Nets will have more overs early in the season next year before the books catch up b/c the current Hawks assistant will bring the up-tempo offense to Brooklyn next year).

    Houston is 7-1 to the Over coming off a straight up loss of 10 or more points and the Over is 11-5-1 for the Warriors when they face a team with a losing road record. Meaning, when expectations are low for a team such as the Rockets off a bad loss or sub .500 teams, games have a tendency to go over. We expect this contest to be high scoring this evening.



    UNDER 217 – warriors

    Houston Rockets +13



    5-Unit Play. Take #521 Houston (+13.5)
    over Golden State
    (10:30 p.m., Monday, April 18)
    I was a fan of Houston in Game one, but didn’t pull the trigger…Good thing. I am definitely a fan of them in Game two. I believe that this team has the ability to push the Warriors. Houston played well at the end of the season, and they know what it takes to win in the playoffs. This was one of the best teams in the West last year and they know it is in there somewhere. Look for the Rockets to come out motivated, and to try and take advantage of a Warriors team playing with a hobbled Steph Curry. Houston is 5-1 ATS in their last six games following an ATS loss and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 Conference Quarterfinals games. Golden State on the other hand is just 1-4 ATS in their last five games coming off a win of 10 points or more. Take the points in this one.

    Best of Luck – Strike Point Sports

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