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NBA ♦ Playoffs ♦ Monday 4/25/16

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  • #41794

    Good morning Ladies & Gents

    I want to announce the end of this venture.

    Next saturday April 30th will be my ‘Last Day’ running this site, i’ll take a break from sports ’till football season which is almost around the corner,,,,, new project, new site, new everything and more important by myself.

    I want to thank All of you guys for your constant support and wish you All The Best.

    In the mean time let’s have a fantastic week.
    God bless you guys.


    “NBA playoffs betting preview and odds”

    The Oklahoma City Thunder will be looking to finish of their series with the Dallas Mavericks Monday night. In the other two games, the Miami Heat will attempt to go up 3-1 on the Hornets and the Clippers will work on doing the same against the Blazers.

    Miami Heat at Charlotte Hornets (-3, 195.5)

    Heat lead series 2-1

    The Miami Heat set a historic offensive pace in the first two games of their first round series before crashing back to earth in Game 3. The Charlotte Hornets will try to put together back-to-back solid defensive efforts and even the series at two wins apiece when they host the Heat in Game 4 on Tuesday.

    Miami scored a franchise playoff-record 123 points in a Game 1 win and followed it up with a 115-103 triumph in Game 2, but the Hornets turned up the defense and held the Heat to 34.2 percent from the field in a 96-80 triumph on Saturday. The victory snapped a 14-year drought between playoff wins for Charlotte franchises, though the team was focusing on the future instead of the past. “This isn’t about winning one playoff game, it’s about winning a playoff series,” Hornets coach Steve Clifford told reporters. “This gives us a chance.” Miami will need to make an adjustment after Charlotte went to a bigger lineup and pushed its way to the win up front.

    TV: 7 p.m. ET, NBATV, FSN Sun (Miami)

    The Hornets opened as 2.5-point favorites and the line was bumped up to -3 by Sunday afternoon. The total opened at 195 and was also bumped up a half point to 195.5. Check out the complete line history here.

    ABOUT THE HEAT (50-35, 45-39-1 ATS, 36-48-1 O/U):
    Miami burned the Hornets in the first two games by putting Luol Deng at power forward but were on the receiving end of some physical play in Game 3. “They went really big and caught us off guard,” Heat center Hassan Whiteside told reporters. “We were prepared for Al Jefferson to post up, but they posted up on our guards. They got us into foul trouble, and that was tough. But we know what they do now. We know what they’re looking for and we can hone on that. Now we know what their different lineups are going to look like.” Whiteside left Saturday’s game in the fourth quarter with a quad bruise before sitting out practice on Sunday and is considered questionable for Game 4.

    ABOUT THE HORNETS (49-36, 43-41-1 ATS, 42-41-2 O/U):
    Charlotte lost starting guard Nicolas Batum to an ankle injury in Game 2 but instead of inserting another guard into the lineup for Game 3 went big with 7-0 center Frank Kaminsky. The rookie only attempted one field goal in a combined 37 minutes in the first two games but finished with 15 points in 35 minutes in Game 3. “He just kept playing,” Clifford told reporters of Kaminsky. “He had the right attitude. Playing basketball is no different than anything else. You have the right attitude, you give yourself a chance to get going when things don’t go your way.”


    * Heat are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 road games.
    * Hornets are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 Conference Quarterfinals games.
    * Under is 8-1 in Heat last 9 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points.
    * Over is 7-1 in Hornets last 8 vs. Eastern Conference.


    Dallas Mavericks at Oklahoma City (-13.5, 205)

    Thunder lead series 3-1

    The third-seeded Oklahoma City Thunder will attempt to close out their first-round series against the Dallas Mavericks on Monday and may have to do so without All-Star small forward Kevin Durant. A flagrant 2 foul got Durant ejected late in Saturday’s 119-108 road win over the sixth-seeded Mavericks and he now faces the possibility of being suspended for Game 5.

    Durant was called for the flagrant 2 after trying to contest a shot by Dallas guard Justin Anderson and smacking him the rookie in the face with his forearm. “I wasn’t trying to hurt him,” Durant told reporters afterward. “Plenty of plays this season where I blocked shots like that from behind. Just unfortunate I fouled him over the head. It was a flagrant, even though I wasn’t trying to intentionally foul him. The refs had to make a decision and they made the right one. It was just bad timing.” Mavericks forward Dirk Nowitzki is playing with a bruised knee and will be trying to keep his team alive after excelling with 27 points and eight rebounds in Game 4. “Hey, we’ve all got to enjoy it while we can,” Dallas coach Rick Carlisle said after Game 4. “We’re seeing one of the most special athletes in sports history and doing it at an amazingly high level at really an advanced stage in his career.”

    TV: 8 p.m. ET, TNT, KTXA (Dallas), FSN Oklahoma

    The Thunder opened as massive 13-point favorites for this home court elimination game, but it appears that 13 points wasn’t enough for the betting public as the books bumped the line to -13.5 early Sunday morning. The total opened at 205 and hasn’t moved at this point. Check out the complete line history here.

    ABOUT THE MAVERICKS (43-43, 46-39-1 ATS, 41-44-1 O/U):
    Point guard Deron Williams (sports hernia) departed just 89 seconds into Game 4 after aggravating the injury and will miss the rest of the series. “I think he’s done for the year,” Carlisle told reporters. “That’s what I think. I don’t expect him to play in Game 5.” Point guard J.J. Berea (groin) missed all seven of his shots while struggling through a scoreless Game 4 and Dallas will again rely heavily on Raymond Felton, who had 19 points and 11 assists on Saturday and is averaging 19.3 points over the past three games.

    ABOUT THE THUNDER (58-28, 40-45-1 ATS, 41-45 O/U):
    Point guard Russell Westbrook had 25 points and 15 assists and has recorded double-doubles in all four games of the series. Westbrook scored 22 of Oklahoma City’s 32 third-quarter points as he helped the Thunder maintain the quicker pace and not let the game settle into the low-scoring affair (85-84 in Game 2) that resulted in Dallas’ lone victory. “The name of the game is come out and play basketball and that’s what we’ve done the last two games, especially here,” Westbrook told reporters. “We know a lot of their game is to kind of muck up the game and I think we’re doing a great job of staying above it.”


    * Mavericks are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 Conference Quarterfinals games.
    * Thunder are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. Western Conference.
    * Under is 6-1 in Mavericks last 7 road games.
    * Mavericks are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings.


    Los Angeles Clippers at Portland Trail Blazers (+2.5, 206.5)

    Clippers lead series 2-1

    The Portland Trail Blazers turned the series around at home in Game 3 and will try to even things up at two wins apiece when they host the Los Angeles Clippers in Game 4 on Monday. The Trail Blazers finally got strong performances in the same game from Damian Lillard and C.J. McCollum on Saturday, which boosted their confidence moving forward.

    “I knew that this game, if we would have lost this game, we would have been in some real trouble,” Lillard told reporters after the 96-88 win in Game 3. “So I just wanted to come out and leave it out there, be aggressive on the offensive end and help on the defensive end. … Just be in attack mode for 48 minutes and our entire team did that.” Lillard was a combined 13-of-39 from the floor in the first two games but knocked down 10-of-20 en route to 32 points in the return home on Saturday. The Clippers held a four-point lead with under four minutes to play in Game 3 before being outscored 15-1 the rest of the way and were disappointed in their inability to put the game away. “We really don’t want to go into these long playoff series,” Los Angeles guard J.J. Redick told reporters. “Anything can happen, as it showed last year against Houston (when the Clippers squandered a 3-1 lead). When you have a team down, and we had a four-point lead against a team we had 2-0 – we had a great opportunity to go up 3-0, and on Monday, we’ll have an opportunity to go up 3-1.”

    TV: 10:30 p.m. ET, TNT, Prime Ticket (Los Angeles), KGW (Portland)

    The Blazers opened as 2.5-point dogs at home for Game 4 and that line hasn’t moved since hitting the board early Sunday morning. The total opened at 206 and was bumped up to 206.5 almost immediately after release. Check out the complete line history here.

    ABOUT THE CLIPPERS (55-30, 42-40-3 ATS, 34-51 O/U):
    Los Angeles forward Blake Griffin was one of the players talking about the team’s need to stay aggressive after going up 2-0 in the series, and he was disappointed in the team’s Game 3 effort. “They beat us in almost every facet of the game,” Griffin told reporters. “They outhustled us, they were better on the glass, they got the 50-50 balls. They had more energy. They flew around. They executed their game plan. You could tell they wanted to go early. They were tougher than us. They were more aggressive. They were tougher.” The Clippers went 3-of-18 from 3-point range in the loss and Redick was held to five points after totaling 34 in the first two contests.

    ABOUT THE BLAZERS (45-40, 45-40 ATS, 44-41 O/U):
    Lillard and McCollum (27 points on 11-of-22 shooting) handled the bulk of the scoring in Game 3 but the best performance may have come from center Mason Plumlee, who collected six points, 21 rebounds and nine assists. “Obviously, the rebounds speak for themselves,” Portland coach Terry Stotts told reporters of Plumlee. “His playmaking, his running into screens – he had an exceptional game. The rebounding was the biggest thing because that’s been kind of a weak point for us in the series, but his passing, he’s been doing that all year for us.” The Trail Blazers outrebounded the Clippers 63-56 behind Plumlee’s big game.


    * Hawks are 0-5 ATS in their last five road games.
    * Celtics are 1-4 ATS in their last five games following a ATS win.
    * Under is 4-1 in Hawks last five games overall.
    * Under is 12-3 in Celtics last 15 games following a straight up win.



    Dallas-Oklahoma City (OC 3-1)
    Five Thunder subs were combined +43 in 11-point win in Game 4; Oklahoma City won seven of last eight games with Dallas– Mavs are 7-7 vs spread in last 14 series games. Nine of last twelve series games went over. 10 of last 13 Dallas games stayed under total. Kanter had 28 points off bench in Game 4, making 12-13 from field for Thunder. Dallas is 3-2 vs spread in its last five visits here.

    Charlotte-Miami (M 2-1)
    Hornets lost five of last eight games with Miami (over 6-1); in series where home side won nine of last 1 games (3-0 in this series). Heat lost four of last five visits here. Hornets are 5-8 in their last 13 games overall against Miami. Charlotte won five of its last eight games (over 7-1); they won their last four home games. Miami won six of its last nine games- they shot over 51% in both Games 1-2, but then just 34.2% in Game 3.- their bench was 4-17

    Portland-LA Clippers (LA 2-1)
    Home side won all three series games; Lillard/MCollum combined for 59 points in Game 3 win, after losing by 20-21 points in first two series games. Clippers are 8-3 in last 11 series games, 3-2 in last five played in Portland. Blazers are just 21-81 on arc in series; Plumlee had 21 boards last game. Trailblazers won eight of their last 12 games overall; seven of their last nine games stayed under the total.

    Playoff tally: Favorites vs spread: 19-11, Over: 9-21


    StatFox Super Situations™ – FoxSheets

    Play On – Road favorites (LA CLIPPERS) revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a road favorite, off a upset loss as a favorite
    80-40 since 1997. ( 66.7% | 36.0 units )
    3-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 3.0 units )

    Play On – Any team vs the money line (CHARLOTTE) an explosive offensive team (>=102 PPG) against a good offensive team (98-102 PPG), after allowing 80 points or less
    51-20 since 1997. ( 71.8% | 27.8 units )
    5-3 this year. ( 62.5% | 1.8 units )

    Play Under – Home teams where the first half total is between 95.5 and 100.5 points with a winning record on the season playing another winning team, in April games
    220-133 since 1997. ( 62.3% | 73.7 units )
    7-9 this year. ( 43.8% | -2.9 units )


    Monday’s Tip Sheet
    By Kevin Rogers

    Eastern Conference – Game 4 (Heat lead 2-1)

    Miami at Charlotte (-2 ½, 195) – 7:05 PM EST – NBATV

    The Heat shot lights out in each of their first two victories over the Hornets by scoring 123 and 115 points. Miami’s offense cooled off in Saturday’s Game 3 blowout loss at Charlotte, as the Hornets used an 18-0 third quarter run to rout the Heat, 96-80 as three-point home favorites.

    Miami put up 28 points in the first quarter of Game 3, but was held to 30 points over the next two quarters to suffer its loss in the opening round since 2012. Luol Deng led the Heat with 19 points on 5-of-6 shooting from three-point range, but Dwyane Wade, Joe Johnson, and Goran Dragic combined to shoot 14-of-44 from the field. The Miami bench received 15 points from rookie Josh Richardson in Game 2, but the non-starters of the Heat put up a combined 16 points in Game 3.

    The Hornets didn’t shoot the ball extremely well in Game 3 by converting 39% of their field goal attempts, but picked up an impressive contribution from rookie forward Frank Kaminsky, who scored 15 points. Marvin Williams bounced back from shooting 1-for-17 in the first two losses to put up a double-double with 12 points and 14 rebounds on 5-of-9 shooting. Guard Kemba Walker wasn’t efficient from the floor (4-of-19), but finished with 17 points as the team converted 21-of-22 free throws (Walker 8-8).

    Charlotte improved to 17-3 SU and 12-8 ATS the last 20 games at Time Warner Cable Arena, although five of those ATS losses came as a favorite of nine points or more. Steve Clifford’s team cashed their sixth ‘under’ in the last eight home contests, while all three home matchups with Miami this season have finished ‘under’ the total.

    The Heat have not lost consecutive road playoff games to an Eastern Conference opponent since dropping two straight at Boston in the 2012 conference finals. Since 2012, Erik Spoelstra’s club owns a spectacular 13-2 SU and 12-3 ATS record off a playoff defeat, but the Heat have been limited to less than 100 points in seven consecutive postseason road games.

    The Hornets are unsure if swingman Nicolas Batum will miss his second straight game after suffering a sprained ankle towards the end of Game 2. Charlotte is listed at +330 (Bet $100 to win $330) to win the series according to, while Miami is still in control at -420 odds (Bet $420 to win $100) to advance to the second round.

    Western Conference – Game 5 (Thunder lead 3-1)

    Dallas at Oklahoma City (-13 ½, 205) – 8:05 PM EST – TNT

    The Spurs became the first team to advance to the second round of the playoffs after sweeping the Grizzlies. San Antonio may know its semifinal opponent as early as Monday night if Oklahoma City can finish off Dallas, as the Thunder bounced back from a shocking Game 2 loss to grab consecutive wins at American Airlines Center.

    Oklahoma City was limited to 84 points in a one-point defeat in Game 2 last week, but Billy Donovan’s squad picked up the offense in Dallas by scoring 131 points in Game 3, followed by a 119-point effort on Saturday. The Thunder held off the Mavericks, 119-108 to cash as 8 ½-point favorites in Game 4, while eclipsing the ‘over’ of 203 ½. The usual suspects of Russell Westbrook and Kevin Durant combined to score 44 points, but OKC received a 28-point effort off the bench from Enes Kanter on an incredible 12-of-13 shooting from the floor.

    The health of the Mavericks is deteriorating by the day as point guard Deron Williams lasted less than two minutes before leaving Game 4 with a sports hernia. Williams has been bothered by that injury throughout the series, while fellow guard J.J. Barea was scoreless on 0-for-7 shooting off the bench for Dallas. The Mavericks managed to shoot 52% from the field in the loss, as Dirk Nowitzki scored a team-high 27 points to bust the 20-point mark for the first time in the series.

    The Thunder have covered three of four games in this series, including Game 1 as a 12-point favorite as all three victories by OKC have come by at least 11 points. Oklahoma City has covered seven of its past nine games overall, while compiling a 6-4 ATS record as a double-digit home favorite since January. Since 2012, the Thunder have won and covered in six of eight opportunities to close out a series, including a 3-1 SU/ATS mark at home.

    In two road elimination games since winning the championship in 2011, the Mavericks haven’t fared very well. In 2014, Dallas was blown out in Game 7 at San Antonio, 119-96, while the Mavericks lost to the Rockets last season in the opening round, 103-94.

    Western Conference – Game 4 (Clippers lead 2-1)

    Los Angeles (-2 ½, 206 ½) at Portland – 10:35 PM EST – TNT

    The Clippers jumped out to a 2-0 series advantage over the Blazers following a pair of 20+ point victories at Staples Center. Portland crept back into the series by holding Los Angeles to below 100 points for the first time in the series in Saturday’s 96-88 triumph at the Moda Center as 1 ½-point underdogs.

    The dynamic duo of Damian Lillard and C.J. McCollum finally got their shooting in order as they combined for 59 points on 21-of-42 from the floor in Game 3. McCollum put up 25 points total in the first two games of this series before scoring 27 points on Saturday, while Lillard improved his scoring average to 30.0 points per game in seven career home playoff games. Portland outrebounded Los Angeles, 56-44 in Game 3, thanks to Mason Plumlee grabbing 21 rebounds in the victory.

    The Clippers struggled from three-point range by knocking down 3-of-18 attempts from downtown, including a 2-of-7 effort from Chris Paul. The Clippers’ All-Star guard paced the Clippers with 26 points, while Jamal Crawford chipped in 19 points off the bench, but Los Angeles was limited to 41% shooting from the floor. Los Angeles dropped to 5-12 in their past 17 road playoff games, including four consecutive losses since the second round of the 2015 postseason.

    Doc Rivers’ squad closed out last postseason with a 7-1 mark to the ‘over’ in their final eight games, but have finished ‘under’ the total in all three contests against the Blazers. Portland has gone the opposite way from a totals perspective since the second round of the 2014 playoffs by going ‘under’ the total in eight of the past 10 postseason contests.

    Since the Blazers took a 2-0 series lead over the Rockets in the opening round of the 2014 playoffs, Portland has put together a dreadful 3-13-1 ATS record in the last 17 postseason contests, including a 3-5 ATS mark at the Moda Center. Terry Stotts’ team is 0-4 SU/ATS the last four playoff games off a home win since 2014 with three of the losses coming by double-digits.


    Basketball Crusher

    Charlotte Hornets -155 over Miami Heat
    (System Record: 81-5, won last 3 games)
    Overall Record: 81-91-3

    Portland Trail Blazers +2.5 over LA Clippers



    100* Hornets -3


    NBA Basketball Betting Trends – Mon – April, 25

    Miami at Charlotte, 7:05 ET
    Miami: 19-9 ATS after playing a game as an underdog
    Charlotte: 45-69 ATS at home after 3 games forcing opp to commit 14 or less turnovers

    Dallas at Oklahoma City, 8:05 ET
    Dallas: 48-27 ATS in road games after a combined score of 225 points or more
    Oklahoma City: 31-41 ATS after playing a game as favorite

    LA Clippers at Portland, 10:35 ET
    Los Angeles: 35-55 ATS after 3 straight games committing 14 or less turnovers
    Portland: 17-7 ATS off an upset win as an underdog


    Hotshot Sports

    3* LA Clippers -3


    Sports Cheetah

    Playoffs 5%


    Ralph Michaels – CAL SPORTS

    #561 3* Miami +3 Charlotte 7:05 NBA TV
    Happily will play zig-zag after Charlotte wins their first playoff game since returning in 2004 having lost 10 straight. I’ll give the Hornets credit for shooting 21-22 96% on free throws while Miami shot 19-30 for 63% but Charlotte only shot 43% each of their first two games and shot only 39% in the win. Miami for only the 2nd time since March 1st Miami shot UNDER 41% and prior to their last game NEVER shot under 38% in any game this season until Saturday when they shot 34%!! Miami bounces back!



    Game: Los Angeles Clippers (565) @ Portland Trailblazers (566)
    Time: Monday 04/25 10:35 PM Eastern
    Pick: Portland +150 (moneyline)
    Damian Lillard and C.J. McCollum came to life in Game 3 after a slow start in the series as they combined for 59 points in Portland’s 96-88 win in Game 3. Also, Mason Plumlee pulled down 21 rebounds and added nine assists, and the Blazers took advantage of the Clippers’ poor shooting both from the field and at the free throw line. Los Angeles had just a .409 field goal percentage, including a 3-of-18 performance from three-point range. In addition, the Clippers missed 10 of 23 foul shots mostly due to DeAndre Jordan’s pitiful 3-of-10 from the line, many of which came at crucial times. Los Angeles is a small favorite in this matchup, but play the Trailblazers on the moneyline.



    POD: Los Angeles Clippers -3

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