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NBA ♦ Playoffs ♦ Wednesday 4/27/16

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    Preview: Charlotte At Miami

    When: 8:00 PM ET, Wednesday, April 27, 2016
    Where: American Airlines Arena, Miami, Florida

    The Heat have been two different teams in the playoffs depending on the venue and will hope for a return to form on offense when the series shifts back to Miami for Game 5 on Wednesday. The sixth-seeded Charlotte Hornets took Games 3 and 4 at home to even the series and hope the defensive improvements the team made can carry over to Game 5.

    The Heat set a franchise postseason scoring record with 123 points in Game 1 and put up 72 in the first half of a 115-103 Game 2 win before failing to crack 90 points in either of the two road games. “The biggest thing I’d change is nothing,” Miami center Hassan Whiteside, who was careful not to directly criticize the referees, told reporters. “We just missed some shots. They’ve got to come to South Beach, and we’ve been playing well all year at home.” The Hornets attacked the Heat defense through the paint with guards Kemba Walker and Jeremy Lin in the 89-85 Game 4 win, and the two combined for 55 points. Walker scored 11 straight Charlotte points in the last six minutes of the fourth quarter to help his team pull away.

    TV: 8 p.m. ET, TNT, FSN Sun (Miami)

    Walker slumped to 17 points on 4-of-19 shooting in Game 3 but found his groove again in Game 4, especially late. “Time and time again in these situations, my team, coaching staff, everybody tells me it’s time to win.” Walker told reporters. “Coach put me in position to make plays. I just want to be as aggressive as possible. I was able to get my shot off, and I just wanted to be confident.” Lin added the highlight of the game when he banked in a 3-pointer and shrugged on the way down the court.

    Miami was whistled for 26 personal fouls in Game 4, with starting guards Dwyane Wade and Goran Dragic combining for nine. “We’ve had some key guys in foul trouble,” Heat guard Joe Johnson, who did not commit a foul, told reporters. “For the most part, we were just trying to hold the fort until we can get those guys back out there. But it’s tough. We just kept fouling and kept putting them on the line. We have to make the game easier. The game has been so tough for us, especially in Charlotte. We have to make an adjustment.” Wade averaged 22 points on 19-of-38 in the first two games at home before slumping to 14.5 on 11-of-31 in Charlotte.


    1. Hornets G Nicolas Batum (foot) missed the last two games and is questionable for Game 5.

    2. Whiteside (eight points, seven rebounds) failed to record a double-double on Monday for the first time in the series.

    3. Charlotte F Marvin Williams scored 12 points on 5-of-9 shooting in Game 3 but totaled two points on 1-of-22 in the other three games.

    PREDICTION: Heat 106, Hornets 102


    Preview: Portland At L.A. Clippers

    When: 10:00 PM ET, Wednesday, April 27, 2016
    Where: Staples Center, Los Angeles, California

    The Los Angeles Clippers looked like things were finally breaking their way on the injury front, and then Chris Paul reached in for a steal. The fourth-seeded Clippers will be without their All-Star point guard and All-Star forward Blake Griffin when they host the fifth-seeded Portland Trail Blazers on Wednesday.

    The MCL sprain suffered by Golden State Warriors point guard Stephen Curry on Sunday seemed to make the path to the Western Conference finals much easier for Los Angeles, but the path out of the first round got much tougher the next night. Paul reached in for a steal in the lane in the third quarter on Monday and suffered a broken third metacarpal on his right hand which required surgery on Tuesday that will keep him out for the rest of the playoff. Griffin, who missed over three months in the regular season with his own broken hand and a quad injury, re-aggravated the quad in Monday’s Game 4 loss and will also sit out the rest of the way. The Trail Blazers took advantage of Paul’s absence in Game 4 and outscored the Clippers 32-20 in the fourth quarter, marking the second straight game they pulled away late.

    TV: 10 p.m. ET, NBATV, KGW (Portland)

    Damian Lillard struggled from the floor in three of the four games in the series, including a 4-of-15 effort in Game 4, but Portland is picking up its star with big efforts from players like Al-Farouq Aminu and Mason Plumlee. Aminu scored a career-high 30 points on 11-of-20 shooting to go along with 10 rebounds, three blocks and three assists in Monday’s triumph after going 11-of-37 in the first three games. “It was just a matter of time,” Trail Blazers head coach Terry Stotts told reporters. “Obviously (Aminu) struggled shooting the ball the first three games, but that didn’t take away from what he was giving us defensively. It was good to see him break out. Everybody has been encouraging him and he’s put in the time and, like I said, it was just a matter of time before he had a game like that.”

    Los Angeles is focusing on the near future and trying to figure out a way to win two more games in this series. “We don’t have to be the best team,” coach Doc Rivers told reporters. “We just have to be the best team (Wednesday). And then we have to figure out how to do it one more time.” Paul averaged 26.3 points in the first three games of the series and had 16 before going down in Game 4 while Griffin, who aggravated the quad sometime in the second half on Monday and tried to play through the injury until the middle of the fourth quarter, averaged 15 points and 8.8 rebounds.


    1. Plumlee averaged 17.5 rebounds and 9.5 assists in Games 3 and 4.

    2. Clippers G J.J. Redick is battling a heel injury and is 5-of-23 from the field in the last two games.

    3. Portland G Gerald Henderson scored 16 points in Game 1 but totaled 10 on 4-of-22 shooting over the next three contests.

    PREDICTION: Trail Blazers 103, Clippers 95


    Preview: Houston At Golden State

    When: 10:30 PM ET, Wednesday, April 27, 2016
    Where: Oracle Arena, Oakland, California

    The news wasn’t as bad as it could have been, but the Golden State Warriors will still be without MVP Stephen Curry when they attempt to close out the Houston Rockets at home in Game 5 on Wednesday. Curry left Sunday’s Game 4 after slipping on the floor at the end of the half and was diagnosed with a sprained MCL in his right knee.

    Curry will sit for two weeks before being reevaluated, putting his availability for the next round in jeopardy should the Warriors, as expected, close out the eighth-seeded Rockets. The star guard was defending on the final play of the first half on Sunday when he slipped on a wet spot and had his right knee bend awkwardly on his way to the ground. “We said two weeks, but that’s no guarantee that it will be in two weeks, might be after two weeks, might be before,” Golden State general manager Bob Myers told reporters after an MRI exam on Monday. “But I think it will be somewhere in that range, hopefully.” Houston had a chance to even the series with Curry limping around the locker room on Sunday at home and instead were outscored 65-38 in the second half of a 121-94 loss.

    TV: 10:30 p.m. ET, TNT, ROOT Southwest (Houston), CSN Bay Area (Golden State)

    The difference in effort between the teams was noticeable in the second half on Sunday, and Houston interim coach J.B. Bickerstaff was not afraid to call out his players after the game. “When the moment calls for us to raise our intensity levels, we dropped our guard,” Bickerstaff told reporters. “You could see the difference in the way that (the Warriors) played in that third quarter and how they scrapped and how they got every loose ball. You could see the intent in their guys’ eyes.” The Rockets allowed 41 points in the third quarter and now need a miraculous comeback for the second straight postseason – they overcame a 3-1 deficit to the Los Angeles Clippers in the second round last spring before falling to Golden State in the conference finals.

    Golden State is already 1-1 in the series while playing without Curry, who sat out Games 2 and 3 with a sprained right ankle. The Warriors tend to lean on Curry’s epic scoring binges when the offense stalls, but All-Stars Draymond Green and Klay Thompson both stepped up in the second half on Sunday and are ready to carry more of the load. “It was the way we were moving the ball and trusting each other on both sides of the ball,” Thompson told reporters of the 41-point third quarter. “That’s what we’ve got to do to beat this team. We knew, as soon as Steph went down, we were going to have to do it by ourselves.”


    1. The Warriors are 3-2 without Curry this season and averaged 10.2 fewer points in those five games.

    2. Houston PG Patrick Beverley (hamstring) also sat out the second half on Sunday and is questionable for Game 5.

    3. Golden State set an NBA playoff record with 21 made 3-pointers in Game 4.

    PREDICTION: Warriors 116, Rockets 100



    Charlotte-Miami (2-2)
    Home side won all four series games; Walker/Lin combined for 55 points in Game 4 win- no other Hornet had more than 11. Hornets lost five of last nine games with Miami (over 6-2 in last eight). Hornets lost four of last five visits here; Heat scored 115-123 in Games 1-2 here, then 80-85 in Charlotte. Hornets won five of their last eight games (over 7-2); they lost four of their last six road games. Miami won its last five home tilts, all by 8+ points- their last three home games all went over.

    Portland-LA Clippers (2-2)
    Clippers are without Paul/Griffin for duration of this series; Portland is 0-4 in last four games played here, with three losses by 15+, but missing Paul is huge for LA- Game 4 was Monday, so Rivers had only had a day to retool offense, with less dynamic PG Prigioni getting more minutes. Home side won all four series games; last five games in series stayed under total. Trailblazers won nine of their last 13 games overall; eight of their last ten games stayed under the total.

    Houston-Golden State (GSW 3-1)
    Curry is out for series, but Warriors outscored Houston 41-20 in decisive third quarter Sunday, without Curry. Golden State won 12 of last 14 games (9-5 vs the spread) against Houston, covering three of last four played here (non-cover was by half-point). Last game, Iguodala scored 22 points in 24:00 to pick up slack created by Curry’s injury. Not big fan of Houston’s chemistry; they went in tank last game, they have interim coach- they’re 1-3 vs spread in last four road games. .

    Playoff tally: Favorites vs spread: 21-14, Over: 11-24


    StatFox Super Situations™ – FoxSheets

    Play On – Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (LA CLIPPERS) off a upset loss as a favorite, good team, winning 60-75% or more of their games on the season
    93-49 since 1997. ( 65.5% | 39.1 units )
    2-1 this year. ( 66.7% | 0.9 units )

    Play Against – Road underdogs vs. the money line (HOUSTON) after allowing 120 points or more against opponent after a blowout win by 15 points or more
    38-4 over the last 5 seasons. ( 90.5% | 29.4 units )
    9-3 this year. ( 75.0% | 2.2 units )

    Play Under – Home teams where the first half total is between 95.5 and 100.5 points with a winning record on the season playing another winning team, in April games
    222-134 since 1997. ( 62.4% | 74.6 units )
    9-10 this year. ( 47.4% | -2.0 units )


    Basketball Crusher

    Charlotte Hornets +5.5 over Miami Heat
    (System Record: 82-5, lost last game)
    Overall Record: 82-92-3

    Houston Rockets +9 over Golden State Warriors


    Wednesday’s NBA Essentials
    By Tony Mejia

    Eastern Conference – Game 5 – Series tied 2-2

    Charlotte at Miami (-6/193), 8:05 p.m. ET – TNT
    The Heat dominated the first two games in this series, setting a franchise-record by scoring 123 points in Game 1, then following it up with a 115-103 rout to go up 2-0. Center Hassan Whiteside made 17 of 19 shots as Miami shot over 57 percent in both victories. Then the series shifted to Charlotte, where everything changed.

    Despite missing its best two-way player, Nicolas Batum, to a foot sprain that may cost him the rest of the series, the Hornets gained their footing with a 96-80 Game 3 win where they locked in defensively and got a combined 33 points from sixth man Jeremy Lin and rookie Frank Kaminsky, who took Batum’s place in the lineup, offering a different look and shocking Miami with his assertiveness and versatility.

    Game 4 was there for both teams. They each had terrific runs in what ended up being a one-possession game for the final 1:57, but rookie Josh Richardson missed a potential game-tying 3-pointer and Charlotte wound up with a pair of key last-minute offensive rebounds to help kill clock, holding off the Heat and evening the series. All-Star Kemba Walker scored a series-high 34 points, while Lin continued his exceptional play at home, adding 21. Miami defenders struggled to stay in front of the Hornets point guards, which makes for a major point of contention in this swing game.

    In part, Whiteside dealing with a bruised thigh has had an impact, since he didn’t look like himself playing back in his home state, taking just 11 shots and averaging just 10.5 points after dominating in South Florida at a 19-points-per-game clip. Dwyane Wade shot the ball poorly in Charlotte, winding up 11-for-31 despite continuing to rebounds well. Wade has been a playmaker for Miami, averaging 6.5 assists and making sure everyone gets involved. One key x-factor in the series has been the Hornets strategy of leaving rookie Justise Winslow open for 3-point looks, taking their chances that he won’t be able to take advantage. Winslow went for 1-for-9 from beyond the arc at Time Warner Cable Arena after taking just two 3-pointers in Miami over the first two games. He’ll either have to start making his shots from here on out, or simply stop taking them. More than any other, that tweak from Steve Clifford has helped slow Miami, who averaged 82.5 points on the road after averaging 119 in going up 2-0.

    Despite two straight ‘under’ winners in this series, VI NBA Expert Chris David expects a turnaround in South Florida. He explained, “I understand why the total continues to drop in this series but it’s hard for me to ignore the ‘over’ trends in the playoffs for Miami. The Heat scored at will in the first two games, which produced easy ‘over’ tickets. Including those winners, the ‘over’ has gone 10-2 in the last 12 playoff games at American Airlines Arena. Plus, the last 10 encounters in South Florida between the Heat and Hornets have all gone ‘over’ the number. I’m buying the high side on Wednesday.”

    Including their regular-season meetings, the Heat and Hornets have split their eight contests. Each team has won on the other’s home floor only once.

    Western Conference – Game 5 – Series tied 2-2

    Portland (-3/196.5) at L.A. Clippers, 10:05 p.m. ET – NBATV
    Everything we’ve seen in this series can now be flushed away and deemed irrelevant. The Clippers dominated both games at Staples Center to seemingly grab a stranglehold on the series that was expected to be the most competitive of the Western Conference’s first-round offerings, winning by a combined margin of 41 points. The Blazers won Game 3 96-88 behind Damian Lillard’s 32 points, pulling away in the final 2:36 after L.A. led 85-84. C.J. McCollum added 27 points, celebrating the night where he received his NBA Most Improved Player award in style. It was a nice night for a young team in front of their home fans, but most expected the Clippers would prevail in Game 4 to take control of the series and expedite the inevitable. Oddsmakers made L.A. a 3.5-road favorite. What happened next is so painful that long-suffering Clips fans are advised to avert their eyes for the rest of this preview.

    By now, everyone knows what happened. Chris Paul broke his hand in the third quarter. Blake Griffin aggravated a quad injury in the fourth. Fearing the likelihood that Paul would be lost to the team the rest of the way, the Clips wilted without their leader, unable to overcome a hostile road atmosphere and a young team greedily pouncing on the opportunity in front of them. Paul had surgery on Tuesday and will miss 4-to-6 weeks, while Griffin has been ruled out the rest of the way. Now, it’s on the rest of the team to pick up the pieces. Everyone has already written them off regardless of whether they go out in this round or next. Oddsmakers have made the Trail Blazers a road favorite at Staples Center despite losing the first two games by 20 or more. This will be the first time in nine meetings this season where Portland is favored over the Clips.

    Top sixth man Jamal Crawford is likely to stay in his role off the bench, but should play more minutes in helping Austin Rivers run the offense for the Clippers with Paul out. Veteran Pablo Prigioni will probably get a little more run, but he’s played just seven minutes over the first four games and hasn’t even taken a shot. Paul averaged 26.3 points and 8.3 assists over the first three games of the series and was having a solid Game 4 before swiping down trying to steal the ball on a Gerald Henderson drive. His production and leadership appear irreplaceable. The Clippers went 3-5 in the eight regular-season games Paul missed, so while playing without Griffin is something they certainly grew accustomed to, operating without their point guard is not something they’ve done well. Wesley Johnson, Luc Mbah a Moute, Jeff Green and Paul Pierce will help centers DeAndre Jordan and Cole Aldrich up front, while Rivers, Crawford and J.J. Redick will get the bulk of the backcourt responsibilities. It doesn’t help that Redick has been playing through a bruised heel.

    Beyond their incredibly good fortune at the expense of a seemingly cursed opponent, the Trail Blazers have pulled their own weight thanks to a frontcourt that has really flourished and even picked up their highly-esteemed backcourt. Center Mason Plumlee has more than held his own with Jordan and has been utilized as a playmaker by Coach of the Year runner-up Terry Stotts, dishing out 26 assists over the last three games. After four points, five boards and no dimes in Game 1, Plumlee has become an invaluable x-factor, averaging 8.3 points, 15 rebounds and 8.7 assists over the last three contests. Al-Farouq Aminu comes off a ridiculous 30-point, 10-rebound game in which he tied a career-high with six 3-pointers made. He’d never scored 30 in the pros in a regular-season game, much less the playoffs. Mo Harkless and Ed Davis have been dependable off the bench up front, while shooter Allen Crabbe has been a weapon. Can their lack of experience in big games be overcome on the road as easily as it was at the Moda Center? That’s a huge x-factor for the Blazers.

    VI’s David weighs in on the injury to Paul and the chances that the Clippers now have without the All-Star in the lineup, commenting that “replacing him won’t be an easy task, which was evident during the regular season. With Griffin out too that certainly spells even more trouble for Los Angeles but I wouldn’t run to the counter and back Portland, who has dropped nine straight playoff games on the road and is just 5-25 as a visitor in the postseason. Interestingly, the ‘over’ prevailed in seven of eight games the Clippers played without Paul.”

    Western Conference – Game 5 – Warriors lead 3-1

    Houston at Golden State (-9/211.5), 10:35 p.m. ET – TNT
    Stephen Curry’s absence would normally be the biggest story in these playoffs, but the Clippers mishaps have overshadowed what will hopefully be a two-week hiatus for the league’s top player. Even though the Warriors still have to get out of the first round with one more victory over the Rockets, there’s no real drama in wondering whether they can considering he didn’t play at all in a second half they won 65-38 in Houston in Game 4.

    Counting their two home wins to open this series, the Warriors are 41-2 at Oracle Arena this season, while the Rockets come in 18-25 in opposing venues. This will be their fourth game in Oakland, losing 123-110 in the regular season and by scores of 104-78 and 115-106 in this series.

    James Harden scored 35 points, grabbed eight boards, dished out nine assists and actually played defense in a 97-96 Game 3 win, so he has to be at his best for the Rockets to even have a chance to beat the Warriors whether Curry is involved or not. He’s shot 18-for-51 (36 pct) in the three losses and figures to see more of Andre Iguodala with Curry out of the mix here. Dwight Howard has actually been solid in the series, averaging 14.5 points and 12.3 rebounds, but he’ll likely need more touches to significantly impact this one and teands to struggle to get position against Andrew Bogut and Festus Ezeli.

    Besides Iguodala likely getting more minutes, Shaun Livingston will help the Warriors offer a different, longer look on defense to help offset the detriment of not having Curry around to strengthen the offense. Livingston is a terrific playmaker who you can post up and control pace through, so in the short-term, the Warriors shouldn’t be troubled much. Shooter Ian Clark will also play an increased role.

    While the Paul injury is expected to take a serious toll on the Clippers, David agrees with most pundits that the Warriors will get past the Rockets even without Curry.

    “Even though the Curry is the league’s MVP, he’s only been on the floor for 39 minutes in this series, which would be over already if it wasn’t for a Harden jumper in Game 3. This matchup is still very much lopsided even without Curry and taking the Rockets on Wednesday isn’t a sound investment. Including the results in this series, Houston has gone 2-8 in its last 10 playoff games on the road and more importantly its 3-7 versus the number with six of the eight losses coming by nine or more points.”



    100* Heat -6


    NBA Basketball Betting Trends – Wed – April, 27

    Charlotte at Miami, 8:05 ET
    Charlotte: 0-9 ATS off 2 consecutive wins against division rivals
    Miami: 9-1 ATS in home games after a loss by 6 points or less

    Portland at LA CLippers, 10:05 ET
    Portland: 6-1 ATS off an upset win as a home underdog
    Los Angeles: 1-6 ATS off an upset loss as a road favorite

    Houston at Golden State, 10:35 ET
    Houston: 16-26 ATS after playing a home game
    Golden State: 21-11 ATS off a road win


    power play wins





    8:05pm Hornets vs. Heat
    (1000 Stars) Charlotte +6

    10:05pm Blazers vs. Clippers
    (3000 Stars)Clippers+3

    10:35pm Rockets vs. Warriors
    (2000 Stars) Houston+9



    Root Trust Basketball Service

    Heat (-6) over Hornets
    8:00 PM (EDT) — AmericanAirlines Arena

    ‘No Limit’
    Rockets (+9½) over Warriors
    7:30 PM (EDT) — ORACLE Arena

    ‘Perfect Play’
    Clippers (+3) over Trail Blazers
    7:00 PM (EDT) — Staples Center
    PerfectPlay–LA Clippers + All we can say is WOW! The Clippers went from -8.5 in game two at home to +3 at home. That is incredible. First of all, they have learned how to play without Blake Griffin as he was out for what seemed like forever (45 games). Now the Clippers get that chance to rally around Chris Paul getting sidelined with a broken hand. Teams do that the very next game. They still have home court. No one has won a road game yet in this series. The Blazers still play horrible on the road. And the difference of value in the pointspread is too good to ever pass. The Clippers are deep. They have 10 different lineups on the board and most likely will go with a pretty big lineup. They have great players and talented options. The Clippers installed a motion offense for when Paul wasn”t on the floor this season, freeing up Jamal Crawford and Austin Rivers while letting anyone else get the ball moving. That will certainly work. Until Portland finally wins on the road, it”s the same business for the Clippers except instead of laying 8 or 9 points, we get three. That”s what we call great value.



    (7 Units) Clippers +2.5

    5-Unit Play. #578. Take Over 195.5
    LA Clippers vs. Portland
    (Wednesday @ 10:05pm est)

    We roll with the LA Clippers as they hook up against Portland. We understand that there is no Chris Paul and no Blake Griffin and we are ok with that. The Clippers are being underestimated here as they are tied 2-2-2 in this series and this is the first time in a long time that neither of those two stars are playing. These are the type of situations in which teams step up when an elite player is out. We have always believed in a theory that if an elite player is out and the team has an elite coach and subs who used to be starters, in thise case Jeff Green, Josh Smith and Jamal Crawford, a team has the ability to step up. It will be a raucous crowd here in LA who will be up for this game and though this team is not going past the next round and maybe not even past this round, per this game, they will get up for this contest and they will likely do well. A solid home crowd, coming off back to back losses, the motivation to play up for their two key teammates, we like the Clippers to get it done here as an outright underdog. If you are Portland, you will not be as sharp as early on as they will take it a bit easier without Paul and we think that Clippers will come out very strong out of the gates and get it done. As per the Over, note that there will be a lot more perimeter shooting here with Rivers and Crawford in the backcourt and with no Griffin, there will even less post up play and there will be a lot of transition offense between these two teams. Look for the pace of this game to jump up without Paul as when there is less familiarity between the players, the tempo actually picks up because players rely on their athleticism rather than the flow of the game and the game becomes more transitional.



    Game: Portland Trailblazers (577) @ Los Angeles Clippers (578)
    Time: Wednesday 04/27 10:05 PM Eastern
    Pick: Los Angeles +3.5 (-110)
    The Los Angeles Clippers are home underdogs in Game 5 due to the crippling injuries of Blake Griffin, who is out for the playoffs, and Chris Paul, who will miss about a month with a broken bone in his hand. Injuries aside, the Clippers have been two different teams in this series. They won two blowouts at home and then lost both games in Portland. The Clippers shot only 35.7 percent in Game 4 while the Trail Blazers made just 40.9 percent of their field goals. Jeff Green scored 17 points in a reserve role on Monday, and along with Austin Rivers, will probably fill in for the injured starters. Damian Lillard and C.J. McCollum were a combined 10-of-28 from the floor in Game 4 and it was Al-Farouq Aminu who was the leading scorer with 30 points. The Clippers have covered five home games in a row and are 4-1 ATS after a loss, and even without two starters they still own the edge in playoff experience. Take the Clippers.


    Trace Adams

    1500♦ Miami as the home favorite over Charlotte.
    At 8:00 am eastern time, the Heat are -5 1/2 points both in Vegas and offshore.

    It’s crazy how in the West, the home court has not mattered as much as it has in the East, as the Western “heavyweights” continue to win whether at home or on the road.

    The same has not been the case in the East, where 3 of the 4 series are still up in the air.

    Look for Miami to get back to their winning ways in front of their home crowd.

    The Heat crushed the Hornets in Games 1 and 2 on their home floor, but Games 3 and 4 in Charlotte were a total different story, as the Hornets are all even heading on the road for this game in South Beach.

    The home team won both games in the playoffs last night, and the home team have now won the last 5 playoffs games since Monday, with the favorite going 22-13 in the 35 postseason games played this year.

    Go ahead and lay it with Miami tonight on their home court.

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