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NCAAF • "College Bowl Games" • Tuesday 12/22/15

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    Tuesday’s College Football Bowl Games Betting Preview’

    ‘Famous Idaho Potato Bowl’

    Game played at Albertsons Stadium, Boise, Idaho

    Akron Zips vs. Utah State Aggies (-6.5, 47.5)


    1. The Famous Idaho Potato Bowl on Dec. 22 in Boise, Idaho may not have the desired warm weather location of most bowl games, but that doesn’t matter to either Akron or Utah State. Both teams are just happy to be going bowling but for different reasons. This is just the second bowl appearance ever for the Zips since becoming an FBS program in 1987 while the Aggies will be making a school-record fifth straight bowl appearance despite scuffling down the stretch.

    2. Akron, which won its final four games to finish in a tie for second in the MAC East Division, lost to Memphis, 38-31, in its only previous bowl game, the 2005 Motor City Bowl. The Zips have steadily improved under fourth-year head coach Terry Bowden, going 1-11 in his first season and then 5-7 in back-to-back years before finishing 7-5 this year. “The thing that’s beginning to hit us now it’s time for us to go out and win a bowl — not play a bowl, but win a bowl,” Bowden told the Akron Beacon Journal.

    3. Utah State looked like it might be headed to a more prestigious bowl game back in mid-October when it forced eight turnovers and stunned then No. 21-ranked Boise State, 52-26, to take over the Mountain Division lead in the Mountain West Conference. But the Aggies lost four of their final six games, including back-to-back road games at New Mexico (14-13) and Air Force (35-28), and ended up in a four-way tie for second place at 5-3 in the division behind the Falcons (6-2). This is the third time in five years that Utah State will play in the Famous Idaho Potato Bowl, which is just a four-hour drive from campus in Logan, Utah.

    TV: 3:30 p.m. ET, ESPN.

    Books opened Utah State -7 but that has moved to -6.5. The total is down to 47.5 from the opening 49.


    Akron – RB D.J. Jones (Questionable, undisclosed).

    Utah State – QB Kent Myers (Probable, shoulder), NT Travis Seefeldt (Out indefinitely, undisclosed).

    A small 20 percent chance of snow with temperatures in Boise in the mid-30s and wind blowing across the field at around six miles per hour.

    ABOUT AKRON (7-5 SU, 7-5 ATS, 5-7 O/U): Senior running back Conor Hundley is the team’s leading rusher with 883 yards and 10 touchdowns on 188 carries while sophomore quarterback Thomas Woodson has completed 53 percent of his passes for 2,034 yards,16 touchdowns and 10 interceptions. Senior wide receiver Imani Davis (46 receptions, 593 yards, 3 TDs) is the top receiver for the Zips, who run a spread offense. Akron’s defense, which ranks third nationally in rushing defense (89.8 yards per game) and 17th in total defense (328.5), is led by senior linebacker Jatavis Brown, who was named the MAC Defensive Player of the Year after leading the team with 108 tackles, including 17.5 for loss, and 10.5 sacks.

    ABOUT UTAH STATE (6-6 SU, 5-7 ATS, 9-3 O/U): The Aggies have arguably the two best linebackers in the Mountain West in 6-5, 250-pound senior Kyler Fackrell, who led the nation in fumble recoveries (five) and is considered an NFL prospect, and junior Nick Vigil, who ranks fifth in the nation in tackles (11.7 per game) and is only the player in the nation to have at least nine tackles in every game. Both Fackrell and Vigil were first team all-Mountain West picks while senior wide receiver Hunter Sharp, who had 60 receptions for 746 yards and eight touchdowns, was a second team choice. Sophomore quarterback Kent Myers passed for 1,470 yards, 14 touchdowns and three interceptions and also rushed for 348 yards and three touchdowns, which ranked second on the team behind junior running back Devante Mays’ 842 yards rushing.


    * Zips are 4-0 ATS in their last four games overall.

    * Aggies are 0-4 ATS in their last four games overall.

    * Under is 4-1 in Zips last five non-conference games.

    * Under is 4-0 in Aggies last four neutral site games.

    Sixty-six percent of Covers users are backing the Aggies.

    ‘Marmot Boca Raton Bowl’

    Game played at FAU Football Stadium, Boca Raton, Florida

    Toledo Rockets vs. Temple Owls (-2.5, 49.5)


    1. Temple and Toledo had seasons that, more or less, mirrored each other, setting up an intriguing matchup at the Marmot Boca Raton Bowl on Dec. 22 in Boca Raton, Fla. The Owls and Rockets each won their first seven games before stumbling a couple of times late in the year, capped by a defeat in their last game by each squad. Still, the strong campaigns created significant opportunities for the head coaches with Toledo’s Matt Campbell bolting to take over Iowa State and Temple’s Matt Rhule signing a six-year extension amid rumors that he could head elsewhere.

    2. For much of the season, the Owls appeared destined for a New Year’s Six bowl game, although there is still plenty on the line for Rhule’s team. Temple was 2-10 two seasons ago and improved to 6-6 last year only to get left out of the postseason. “Hopefully our legacy will be that we can win 11 games,” center Kyle Friend told reporters. “That has never been done before here.”

    3. The Rockets are seeking their first 10-win season since 2001, but must do it in former offensive coordinator Jason Candle’s first game as head coach. “I have a chance to be the head football coach at a place that I love, and to be around the team that I love and the guys that I fought with and bled with for seven years here,” said Candle, who likely would have been named offensive coordinator at Iowa State as part of Campbell’s staff. “It’s a no-brainer. It’s an easy decision.” Candle already is familiar with Temple, which was in the Mid-American Conference (along with Toledo) from 2007-11.

    TV: 7 p.m. ET, ESPN.

    Books opened this game as a Pick, but Temple is now -2.5. The total is down to 49.5 from the opening 51.


    Toledo – LB Jaylen Coleman (Out for season, leg), QB Jalen Reese (Out for season, Achilles), TE Adam Kulon (Out for season, knee).

    Temple – DL Jullian Taylor (Out indefinitely, undisclosed), DL Josian Bronson (Out for season, ankle).

    There is a 36 percent chance of rain with temperatures in the mid-70s and wind blowing across the field at around 10 miles per hour.

    ABOUT TOLEDO (9-2 SU, 8-2-1 ATS, 3-8 O/U): The Rockets are one of the nation’s more balanced teams, ranking in the top 35 nationally in points (34.7) and points against (21.1) with a strong rushing attack that averages 213.2 yards per game – tops in the MAC. “Both teams pay attention to running the ball,” Candle told reporters of his squad and the Owls. “To win and play well in November and December, you’ve got to be able to run the ball and stop the run, and I think both teams do a good job of that.” Kareem Hunt and Terry Swanson both have a chance to reach 1,000 rushing yards on the season with a big performance in Boca, while Phillip Ely (2,680 yards and 21 touchdown passes) hopes to maintain a solid run in which he has thrown five touchdowns and one interception over the last three outings.

    ABOUT TEMPLE (10-3 SU, 9-4 ATS, 5-8 O/U): The Owls, who ended the regular season ranked No. 24 in both the coaches’ poll and the College Football Playoff rankings, went 3-3 over their final six games – a run that included a close defeat to Notre Dame, a 21-point loss at USF and a disappointing 24-13 setback at Houston in the AAC title game. Robby Anderson was hardly to blame for the loss to Houston as he racked up season highs of 12 catches for 150 yards and recorded the team’s only touchdown. Overall, though, Temple’s best player is linebacker Tyler Matakevich, who said after winning the Bronko Nagurski Award as the nation’s top defensive player: “I’m not the biggest, I’m the not fastest, but I push myself to prepare off the field, so when I step on the field, I can do things faster than other people. I can narrow down what plays teams might run just by the formations. I think that is a tribute to the coaches’ putting me in the right situations.”


    * Rockets are 3-0-1 ATS in their last four non-conference games.

    * Under is 4-0 in Owls last four non-conference games.

    * Owls are 1-4 ATS in their last five vs. MAC.

    * Under is 6-0 in Owls last six games following a ATS loss.

    Sixty-five percent of Covers users are backing the Owls.


    Akron, Utah State meet Tuesday on blue turf
    By Brian Graham

    AKRON ZIPS (7-5) vs. UTAH STATE AGGIES (6-6)

    ‘Famous Idaho Potato Bowl
    Albertsons Stadium – Boise, ID
    Kickoff: Tuesday, 3:30 p.m. ET

    Line: Utah State -6.5, Total: 47

    Akron seeks its first ever bowl win on Tuesday when it clashes with Utah State on the blue turf in Boise for the Famous Idaho Potato Bowl.

    The Zips (7-5 ATS) lost their only postseason appearance in the 2005 Motor City Bowl by a 38-31 score to Memphis and are matched up with an Aggies team (5-7 ATS) that has three bowl wins in the past three years. But while Terry Bowden’s Akron squad is currently playing great football with four straight victories (SU and ATS), Matt Wells and his Utah State team has four consecutive ATS losses (1-3 SU). However, the Aggies are 6-0 ATS under Wells after a bye week, and the Zips fall in the category of underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points with an excellent rushing defense (100 YPG or less) after allowing 1.5 YPC or less in their previous game going 49-19 ATS (72%) since 1992. Injuries will not be a big factor for Tuesday’s matchup, with only Akron RB D.J. Jones questionable with an undisclosed injury.

    Akron’s offense is not very potent with only 24.0 PPG and 366 total YPG, but it does hold the football for an average of 32:27 per game with a quality ground attack. The Zips have rushed for at least 210 yards in three straight contests to increase their season average to 172 rushing YPG on 4.2 YPC. Senior RB Conor Hundley leads the team with 883 rushing yards (4.7 YPC) and 10 TD, but hasn’t rushed for 100 yards in six straight contests. Senior RB Donnell Alexander has only 476 rushing yards (4.9 YPC) this year, but has racked up 216 yards on 37 carries (5.8 YPC) with 2 TD over the past three games. Akron needs to pound the football, because it doesn’t throw very well with a horrendous 49.7% completion pct. for 194 YPG and 6.8 YPA. Sophomore QB Thomas Woodson has completed only 53% of his throws for 2,034 yards (7.3 YPA), 16 TD and 10 INT this season, but has 5 TD and no picks over the past two games. The 240-pound Woodson is also a valuable runner with 544 rushing yards (4.6 YPC) and 3 TD this season. The Zips are propelled by a top-notch defense that allows only 21.5 PPG on 329 YPG (4.8 yards per play), including a mere 16.3 PPG on 304 total YPG (4.6 YPP) in the past three games. While the passing defense allows a subpar 239 YPG on 6.6 YPA, the run-stop unit is downright nasty in holding teams to 90 YPG (3rd in nation) on 2.8 YPC. In the past five contests, Akron opponents have rushed for a pathetic 67 YPG on 2.5 YPC. The Zips also know how to strip the football with 25 takeaways this season, including 12 during their four-game win streak. With the Aggies turning the ball over 13 times in the past six contests, Akron will certainly stay aggressive.

    Utah State’s offense is better than its Tuesday opponent, averaging 29.7 PPG on 371 total YPG. The team has good balance with 168 rushing YPG (4.5 YPC) and 203 passing YPG (6.8 YPA). Oft-injured Aggies QB Chuckie Keeton (61 career TD passes) is finally healthy, and he will try to close out his career in style. Keeton’s last bowl game actually occurred in Boise when he led Utah State to a 41-15 pounding of Toledo with 321 total yards (229 pass, 92 rush) and a rushing touchdown. In Keeton’s last healthy season in 2013, he threw 18 TD and only 2 INT, but in the past two injury-marred campaigns, the fifth-year senior has just 5 TD and 10 INT. The team’s No. 1 target is senior WR Hunter Sharp who has exploded for 27 catches, 344 yards and 4 TD over the past three games. On the ground, the Aggies rely most heavily on junior RB Devante Mays (153 carries, 842 yds, 5.5 YPC, 9 TD) who has carried the football at least a dozen times in six straight games, and ripped off 133 yards and 2 TD in the team’s most recent win on Nov. 21 versus Nevada. Defensively, Utah State has allowed a respectable 27.0 PPG on 337 total YPG this year, but those numbers have ballooned to 37.7 PPG on 401 total YPG in the past three contests. For the season, opponents have rushed for 156 YPG on 3.7 YPC, while passing for 180 YPG on 7.0 YPA. What the Aggies haven’t done well lately is create turnovers, as they have just three takeaways over the past six games combined, which is a far cry from their 17 turnovers in the previous four contests.


    No. 24 Temple tangles with Toledo Tuesday
    By Brian Graham

    TOLEDO ROCKETS (9-2) vs. TEMPLE OWLS (10-3)

    ‘Boca Raton Bowl’
    FAU Stadium – Boca Raton, FL
    Kickoff: Tuesday, 7:00 p.m. ET

    Line: Temple -2, Total: 49.5

    Toledo and No. 24 Temple, two teams hoping to bounce back from disappointing results, will escape the cold weather and square off in Boca Raton, FL on Tuesday night.

    The Rockets (8-2-1 ATS) missed out on a chance to play in the MAC title game with a 35-30 home loss to Western Michigan while the Owls (9-4 ATS) were beaten 24-13 by Houston in the AAC Championship. These schools have met six times since 1998, and all six contests have been decided by 12 or more points with Toledo as the big winner in five of these matchups. Rockets head coach Matt Campbell left for Iowa State, and the team promoted OC Jason Candle to direct the team in this postseason tilt. Toledo is 6-1 ATS since 2013 when the total is between 49.5 and 56 points, and is also 5-1 ATS this season after committing less than two turnovers in a game. However, Temple is 44-23 ATS off one or more consecutive Unders since 1992 and is facing an opponent that is 0-7 ATS since 2013 after allowing 6.25+ yards per play in its previous game. There are no significant injuries for either school in this matchup.

    Toledo’s offense is quite potent this season with 35.3 PPG and 464 total YPG, and those numbers are just as strong (32.6 PPG, 456 total YPG) away from home where it has a perfect 5-0 record (SU and ATS). The Rockets are known more for their air attack that gains 250 YPG on 7.2 YPA, but they also run the football quite well with 214 YPG on 5.1 YPC. Both RBs Kareem Hunt (894 rush yds, 5.5 YPC, 10 TD) and Terry Swanson (870 rush yds, 6.6 YPC, 7 TD) are very capable of chewing up yards. The 225-pound junior Hunt has strung together four straight games of 110+ rushing yards, totaling 545 yards and 7 TD during this streak. The 202-pound sophomore Swanson has four games of at least 115 yards this season and has scored a touchdown in five of the past seven contests. If the ground game falters, QB Phillip Ely (55% completions, 2,680 yds, 21 TD, 10 INT) is a capable passer with at least eight games of 200+ passing yards this season. In the past three games he has thrown 5 TD with only 1 INT. Toledo’s defense sometimes gets overshadowed by the offense, but the unit does a nice job in limiting teams to 21.1 PPG on 379 total YPG. The run-stop unit is outstanding, as it gives up only 118 YPG on 3.4 YPC, but the secondary is more generous with 261 YPG on 6.6 YPA. The unit has forced nine turnovers in the past four games, but the Owls have only six giveaways in the past seven games combined.

    Temple is scoring 30.8 PPG on 369 total YPG this season, but those points have fallen greatly in the past three games to 23.7 PPG despite a solid 389 total YPG. The Owls are a balanced offense that averages a beefy 33:01 time of possession due to a ground game piling up 154 YPG on 4.1 YPC. The passing game can also move the chains with a 57% completion rate leading to 215 YPG on 7.1 YPA. Junior QB P.J. Walker has thrown for 2,737 yards (7.0 YPA), 19 TD and 7 INT this season, which is a huge improvement from his miserable ratio of 13 TD and 15 INT from a year ago. Walker has thrown at least one touchdown in 12 straight games, including 9 TD and 3 INT over the past five games. His top target is senior WR Robby Anderson (64 rec, 873 yds, 7 TD), who is coming off a season-high 150 yards on 12 receptions and a touchdown in the AAC title game loss at Houston. But for Temple to win this football, game, junior RB Jahad Thomas (1,257 rush yds, 4.7 YPC, 17 TD) will need to step up like he did earlier in the season when he had four 100-yard efforts in the first six games. Over the past seven contests, Thomas has just one game at the century mark, when he rumbled for 119 yards (6.0 YPC) and 2 TD in a win over UConn. Defensively, the Owls limit teams to 19.2 PPG on 329 total YPG, and those numbers have improved to 13.0 PPG on 236 total YPG in the past three contests, which is impressive since the unit has forced just two turnovers in this timeframe. The run-stop unit is particularly stingy in holding teams to 126 YPG on 3.8 YPC, while the passing defense allows 203 YPG on 6.0 YPA.


    College Football Betting Trends – Tues – Dec, 22

    Akron at Utah State, 3:30 ET
    Akron: 5-1 ATS after 1 or more consecutive straight up wins
    Utah St: 19-25 ATS after 2 or more consecutive losses against the spread

    Toledo at Temple, 7:00 ET
    Toledo: 0-7 ATS after allowing 6.25 or more yards/play in previous game
    Temple: 44-23 ATS off 1 or more consecutive unders


    Bowl Tech Trends – Week 2
    By Bruce Marshall

    AKRON vs. UTAH STATE ‘Famous Idaho Potato Bowl’
    Utags have won and covered last three years in bowls, with Matt Wells winning last two. USU did stumble down stretch, however, no covers last four, and 5-7 spread mark was worst since 2011. USU 3-5 as chalk this season. Akron bowling for first time since 2005 and closed this season with a rush, covering last four and seven of last eight.

    ♦Slight to Akron, based on recent trends.

    TOLEDO vs. TEMPLE ‘Boca Raton Bowl’
    Rockets 8-2-1 vs. line TY, Owls 9-4 vs. spread. Toledo 1-3 vs. line last four bowl appearances. Temple bowling for first time since 2011. Toledo has covered last six away from Glass Bowl. Rockets 10-6-1 vs. spread last 17 vs. non-MAC. American teams 2-4 vs. line in bowls last season.

    ♦Slight to Toledo, based on team trends.


    Big Move Consensus

    ‘Famous Idaho Potato Bowl’
    Akron vs Utah St.



    ‘Famous Idaho Potato Bowl’
    $750 Akron vs Utah
    UNDER 49.5



    3 Unit Play. #213 Take Under 48 – Akron vs Utah St
    (3:30p.m., Tuesday, Dec 22 ESPN)
    ‘Idaho Potato Bowl’

    The Akron Zips last 5 games 3 of them went UNDER the total and their last game they held Kent St to the big goose egg. Utah St at times had trouble in the red zone and yes three straight games they played went OVER but it was the teams they played that pushed those totals over. This game will be tight and I see both teams running the ball and with running the ball the clock will tick. Akron is 1-4 O/U in their last 5 non-conference opponents and Utah St is 0-4 O/U in their last 4 bowl games.

    4 Unit Play. #216 Take Temple -1.5
    over Toledo
    (7:00p.m., Tuesday, Dec 22 ESPN)
    ‘Boca Raton Bowl’


    Good morning Ladies & Gents

    ‘A1serviceplays’ will be updated around 12pm ET.
    Have a great day!!!



    Football Crusher
    Toledo + Temple – OVER 48.5

    (System Record: 41-3, lost last 2 games)
    Overall Record: 41-42-2



    100* Utah State -7



    25* Temple -1.5


    Huddle Up Sports

    500,000* ‘College Bowl Lock’
    Akron +7

    ‘High Roller Total’
    Toledo/Temple – Over 48

    ‘Football Best Bets’
    Temple -2
    Akron/Utah State – Over 46



    *10 Idaho Potato BOWL ANNIHILATOR (73%!)
    Utah St.

    *10 ESPN Tuesday Bowl *MAIN EVENT* (73%)
    OVER – Toledo vs Temple


    Trace Adams

    1500♦ Akron as the underdog against Utah State.
    At 8:30 am eastern time, the Zips are the solid +7 point dogs in Vegas and offshore.

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