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NCAAF • "College Bowl Games" • Wednesday 12/23/15

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    MARCO D’ANGELO – WagerTalk


    Both teams had great seasons and because of that both teams enter this game without their head coaches who because of their success were hired at bigger programs. Georgia Southern I believe has the edge here as the option attack is hard enough to defend when you are fully focused and prepared but with the distraction of your coach leaving I just don’t think Bowling Green is going to be ready to stop this attack. Will Bowling Green really be excited about facing the 3rd place finisher in the Sun Belt conference? Bowling Green can score we all know that but the best defense Georgia Southern has is their offense as when it’s on the field Bowling Green can’t score and I believe Georgia Southern will have a lot of long time consuming drives. This will go to the wire and I’m grabbing the points. GEORGIA SOUTHERN 33-30




    5* Boise St. -7

    3* Bowling Green -5.5

    Regular play – Bowling Green – Over total 64



    ? Selections

    2* (218) Northern Illinois +7

    2* (219) Georgia Southern +5.5

    2* georgia southern – UNDER 64



    BOISE ST. -6
    *PT BUY* -130


    Brandon Watson
    (CFB Bowls 6-2 ytd)

    Boise State -7

    Bowling Green -5


    H&H Sports

    ‘Triple Dime’
    Boise State -6.5 (-115)


    Andy Iskoe

    Bowling Green -7



    Steve’s Screenshot (CFB)

    Georgia Southern vs. Bowling Green (-5.5, 64)
    (8 pm ET, ESPN)

    My power ratings actually make Bowling Green -9, so there is some line value on the Falcons laying less than a touchdown. However, Bowling Green head coach Dino Babers left for Syracuse, so defensive coordinator Brian Ward will coach the team in this game which adds uncertainty and negates the line value.

    Bowling Green went 9-1 SU and 8-2 ATS over their final ten games of the season. The Falcons steamrolled those opponents, and in fact, their last seven wins came by a combined score of 354-123. Bowling Green averaged 43.4 points per game on 6.8 yards per play versus defenses that allowed 27.8 points per game on 5.6 yards per play.

    Georgia Southern was much better than their 8-4 SU record indicates. The Eagles lost in overtime at Georgia, and they inexplicably lost as a -20.5 point favorite to Georgia State in the season finale. The Eagles run the triple-option offense, and while Bowling Green has had three weeks to prepare for it, the Falcons were simply terrible against the run this season. They allowed 150 rushing yards or more in eight games, including 198 rushing yards or more in four of those games.

    The pointspread value is clearly on Bowling Green, but the fact they lost their head coach and they couldn’t stop the run this season are two solid reasons for concern in this game tonight.



    GoDaddy Bowl
    Bowling Green -7


    Power Play wins

    POD – Bowling green. -6.5



    10* Boise St.

    10* Bowling Green

    5* Parlay Both



    Boise State (-7) over Northern Illinois
    4:30 p.m.
    It has been a disappointing season for Boise State. With 17 returning starters, an undefeated season and major bowl appearance was forecast for the Broncos but they were never able to play with any consistency and a 8-4 season, their worst since 1998, ensued. We look for the Bronco’s to take their frustrations for a sub par year out on an injured Northern Illinois squad this afternoon. Boise’s defense has been as advertised and is ranked 24th in the nation. That defensive prowess will spell trouble for a Northern Illinois team that has been crippled with injuries this season at the QB position. Red-shirt freshman Ryan Graham will get the start and while he is a gutsy player he is a big downgrade from the original starting QB Drew Hare. Boise’s offense will be led by QB Brett Rypien who has been impressive this season throwing for 2,973 yards and 17 TDs. He has also not thrown an interception in 4 of the last 5 games. Boise State is opportunistic and is ranked 19th in the nation in turnover margin at +8 and would be ranked in the top 10 if they didn’t turn the ball over 8 times against Utah St! Running back Jeremy McNichols has averaged 6.2 yards per carry and 151 yards per games in his last 5 games since returning from an injury. Boise St. has historically done very well in Bowl Games and has won and covered 5 of the their last 6 bowl games. It’s Boise State.



    BOISE ST -3.5
    (‘1st Half’) -110



    Game: Boise State Broncos (217) vs. Northern Illinois Huskies (218)
    Time: Wednesday 12/23 4:30 PM Eastern
    Pick: Northern Illinois +7 (-110)

    The Boise State Broncos and the Northern Illinois Huskies are a pair of teams that have been powerful mid-majors for several years running, although this was not a banner season for either team, and it well may be fitting that they are paired against each other in the Poinsettia Bowl. Neither team has played particularly well down the stretch as Boise State lost two of their final three games. One of those losses was at home as a better than 30 point favorite vs. New Mexico. The other was also at home as a double-digit favorite to Air Force. The disturbing part of the Air Force game was that Boise State was +4 in turnovers and still lost by a TD as a big favorite, a sign that things just aren’t right for this team. Northern Illinois lost their last two, one to Ohio, and as a double-digit dog vs. Bowling Green in the MAC Championship game. The simple truth is that Boise State has under-played their stats while Northern Illinois has over-played theirs. That shows a sign of effort and focus, which has been lacking on Boise State, as they have had some huge turnover games this season. Boise State has dropped four straight ATS vs. a winning team, and look to be really struggling. Take the points on Northern Illinois.


    San Diego County Credit Union Poinsettia Bowl Preview: Boise State Broncos vs. Northern Illinois Huskies
    by Tony Finn

    The 2015 Poinsettia Bowl features two of the most successful Non-Power Five Conference programs in the history of college football. The Boise State Broncos arguably have been the most prominent football program outside of the Power Five over the last decade and if the truth be told the Northern Illinois Huskies also have some bragging rights. The two programs meet in the 2015 Poinsettia Bowl at Qualcomm Stadium.

    Northern Illinois is coming off yet another amazingly successful regular season, but they failed to secure the MAC title this past month losing the tilt to a capable and talented Bowling Green team. A strong start by the Boise State squad gave hope to the student body and the fan faithful that the Broncos might be in line for another trip to a New Year’s Six Bowl. These two talented football programs do battle Thursday afternoon, 4:30 p.m. ET, in San Diego with the national broadcast being aired on ESPN.


    Boise State Broncos (-8, 54.5) vs. Northern Illinois Huskies

    Venue: Qualcomm Stadium, San Diego, California
    Time and TV Coverage: 4:30 PM ET on ESPN

    Boise State: 8-4 SU, 6-6 ATS, 6-6 O/U
    Northern Illinois: 8-5 SU, 7-4-2 ATS, 6-7 O/U


    The Boise offensive is multi-dimensional and is under the direction of quarterback Brett Rypien. Sophomore running back Jeremy McNichols is the key to a Broncos balanced attack. McNichols has had a season of explosive plays, big runs but most important he has been the consistent cog in the Broncos offensive machine. McNichols is tied for the top spot in all of football with 23 touchdowns (18 rushing, five receiving). The sophomore tailback has also rushed for 1,244 total yards while posting seven 100-yard game performances. Junior wide receiver Thomas Sperbeck leads the Mountain West in receptions (82) and receiving yards (1,334).

    Boise State averaged 38 points per game behind Rypien, who replaced QB Ryan Finley, after the sophomore starting signal-caller suffered a season-ending ankle injury. The nephew of former Washington Redskins quarterback Mark Rypien passed for 2,973 yards and 17 touchdowns resulting in him earning the Mountain West Freshman of the Year honors.

    The defense has seemingly had a different hero every Saturday afternoon. Defensive back Donte Deayon is the leader of the unit and is the general in the Boise secondary. Deayon has 17 career interceptions, four this season, and overall the Broncos defensive unit has a total of 28 takeaways this season. Assisting Deayon in the Boise State secondary is safety Darian Thompson, who had five picks this season and is the Mountain West’s all-time leader with 19 career interceptions.

    Northern Illinois has played musical chairs at quarterback this season beginning with injuries to junior starter Drew Hare (Achilles’ tendon) and redshirt freshman backup Ryan Graham (leg). The Huskies are utilizing their season opening third-string quarterback in Tommy Fiedler. The team plans to send Fielder to the gridiron at Qualcomm Stadium to make his second career start. There was hope that their freshman signal-caller, Graham, would regain his health and be available for the holiday bowl event in San Diego, but regardless of who starts behind center, and who is available at the quarterback position, the offense revolves around running back Joel Bouagnon and the units rushing game.

    Bouagnon (1,269 yards, 18 touchdowns) figures to share a heavy brunt of the offensive load tonight with the hope will ease some of the bowl pressure on the inexperienced, Fiedler, at quarterback. Fiedler was 12-of-28 for 152 yards with one touchdown and three interceptions in a 34-14 loss to Bowling Green in the MAC title game. Feidler will have the services of veteran, and junior receiver Kenny Golladay (71 receptions for 1,122 yards and 10 touchdowns), to stretch the field.
    The Huskies defense is led by senior middle linebacker Boomer Mays (108 tackles) and senior defensive end Perez Ford (five sacks). The aforementioned two, combined with Shawun Lurry, feature a gambling defense that has forced 27 total turnovers this season.

    The question marks that surround the quarterback position for the Huskies make this an even more intriguing matchup, and a contest that is difficult to prognosticate. Expecting the well-coached Boise State team to challenge the quarterback situation for the Huskies should be expected making the Huskies offense the big question mark in this holiday season’s Poinsettia Bowl.
    After starting the season strong the Broncos lost focus in the second half of their league schedule. Losses to New Mexico and Air Force were the school’s first back-to-back home
    losses in over 18 years. The coaching staff was forced to use a rookie behind center, QB Brett Rypien, who lived up to his prep school performances, before scuffling in November. clippings.
    Northern Illinois lost five of their 13 starts, including the final two of the regular season which were the most losses since 2009 for one of the most successful programs in MAC history.

    Injuries were a contributing factor in their five losses during the season and remain a hurdle for tonight’s game against an offensive minded Boise State club.

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