- December 31, 2015 at 10:41 am #23152
100* Florida State -6.5December 31, 2015 at 10:42 am #23154
(CFB Bowls 16-12 ytd)
Clemson +4December 31, 2015 at 11:48 am #23173
SMART SPORTS INVESTMENTS
Risked 5 units to win 4.63
Oklahoma -3.5 -108 vs Clemson
It’s time to find out who is college footballs best team this season as the 2nd annual College Playoff kicks off on New Years Eve. The 1st matchup of the night gives us the Big 12 Champion Oklahoma Sooners vs the ACC Champion Clemson Tigers. I’ve been vocal all season long on my opinion of Clemson and their strength of schedule, their toughest game to date was either the FSU or UNC game. We watched another Big 12 Power Baylor handle UNC with ease in their bowl game victory. Clemson has yet to see an offense like Oklahoma is bringing to the table, while the Sooners have been playing big play offenses like Clemson in the Big 12, all season long. This comes down to a battle of who’s defense can make more stops, and I like Stoops and the boys to be able to get the stops when they matter most, based upon their experience in games against similar opponents. Oklahoma is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points. 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game. 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game. 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall. 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win. The Tigers on the other hand are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game. 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game. 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win. 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall. 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game. Loving Boomer Sooner to take this one by a TD or more, and cement their spot in the national title game.
Risked 5 units to win 4.76
Michigan State +10 -105 vs Alabama
Our night game brings us a battle of two of college footballs premier defenses, the Spartans have held their last 4 opponents to 16 points or less, while the Crimson Tide have only given up 15 points or more twice all season. The line is way too high to be backing Bama in this matchup, I guess Vegas didn’t learn their lesson last season when they picked Bama to roll over the eventual national champion Buckeyes. Alabamas strength is their running game, Michigan State is #7 in the country against the run, and held Ohio State star RB Ezekiel Elliot to just 33 yards on 12 carries. While Alabamas strength falls right into Michigan States, it’s quite the opposite on the other side of the field. If the Bama defense has a weakness, it’s their passing defense. Connor Cook is healthy and will be starting for the Spartans, he’s thrown for 24 TD passes this season, and threw for 328 yards against the #3 ranked pass defense in the country (Michigan) earlier this season. He also threw for 3 TDs against the #10 ranked Penn State pass defense, with no interceptions. The Crimson Tide have shown they are susceptible through the air, Ole Miss QB Chad Kelly threw for 341 yards and three scores in their only loss of the season. The Spartans will give the Crimson Tide similar problems in this game, our scoring model has Bama winning 30-22, I think it will be even closer to that, around a 31-24 final score…as far as who wins…that’s why we are betting this safe, and taking the Spartans with a fat 10 pt cushion.December 31, 2015 at 11:52 am #23175
Alabama -10December 31, 2015 at 11:54 am #23176
20* Oklahoma -3.5
15* Alabama -9.5December 31, 2015 at 11:56 am #23179
10* Michigan St.December 31, 2015 at 11:57 am #23180
Houston +7.5December 31, 2015 at 11:59 am #23183
Lee Sterling – Paramount Sports
25* FSU -7 vs Houston
20* Clemson +4 vs OklahomaDecember 31, 2015 at 12:00 pm #23184
10* ON CLEMSON – OVER
*this one should be a shootout.December 31, 2015 at 12:02 pm #23186
2 Units – Houston / Florida St. – Under 56.5December 31, 2015 at 12:09 pm #23189
Marc Lawrence – Bowl Stat Report
‘Best Bet #2
play on Clemson over Oklahoma in the Orange Bowl.December 31, 2015 at 12:09 pm #23190
‘Trophy plays Bowls’
Oklahoma -3 1/2December 31, 2015 at 12:11 pm #23191
Brandywine Bookmakers Syndicate
10* CFB Houston / Fla. St. – OVERDecember 31, 2015 at 12:11 pm #23192
Wolverine Sports Wire
5* CFB HoustonDecember 31, 2015 at 12:13 pm #23193
PLAY: UNDER – Oklahoma/Clemson
RATING: DOUBLE DIME PLAY
I am usually spot on with line moves, but I really am not sure which direction this total will move between now and kickoff.
I DO know my CFB experts like this one “under” making the game 60. Further, there are intangibles/injuries that make this under stronger.
“Big”/Championship type game are lower scoring. I kno Ïw we have seen many a Bowl Game BLOW UP scoring wise, but teams in lesser Bowls often go into the game with a loose, care-free attitude, that will not be the case here!
Suspended WR Cain for Clemson IS a big deal here, and likely worth an extra point to the UNDER on the total, giving us another point of value.
WE FIRE UNDER 64 with confidence as a standard normal 2* bet, and if this total inflates up, I will increase my bet at post and put another .4 units on it at 66 or higher……
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