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Phil Steele “Inside the Pressbox”
Best Bet: Penn State -6.5
Best Bet: Bowling Green +20.5
Best Bet: Alabama -10.5
Best Bet: USC -27
RIVER CITY SHARPS
3 Units – Northern Illinois (-23)
The Tony Sanchez era officially begins at UNLV on Saturday as his Rebels make the trek to Dekalb to face off with Northern Illinois, our preseason pick to win the MAC. Sanchez may think he is still at Bishop Gorman in Vegas after he sees his team on the field as we fully expect the Rebels to be one of the worst five teams in FBS this season. These two teams played last year in Vegas in Week 3 and the Huskies came away with a 14-point win. This Rebel team will be even younger than the bad ones of the past several campaigns and only return 10 starters from last year’s 2-11 squad, while the Huskies will return 13 starters from their MAC West championship team, the fifth straight time they have won their division. The numbers all scream towards the home side here….Consider that Vegas is 1-14 in their last 15 road openers, losing their last seven by an average of 26 ppg. Meanwhile, NIU is 13-2 in their last 15 home openers, winning their last seven games by an average of 27 ppg. Drew Hare returns at QB for the Huskies and he enjoyed a solid first year as the starter, throwing 18 TD’s to just two interceptions and completing right at 60% of his throws. An interesting ATS trend here regarding NIU is that when the Huskies rush for 250 yards or more, they are 17-3 against the number since 1992 and this Rebel rush defense could be one of the worst they see all year long. This Huskie team is used to be being the big dog in the MAC but were picked third in their preseason poll, so they may come out Saturday with something to prove to the rest of the conference. Huskies absolutely ROLL in this one by 4 TD’s at a minimum. The Sharps say…
3 Units – Northern Illinois (-23)smart sports investments
Risked 3 units to win 2.73 Louisville +10.5 -110 vs Auburn
Risked 3 units to win 2.86 Penn State -7 -105 vs Temple
Risked 4 units to win 3.48 Arizona State +3.5 -115 vs Texas A&M
Risked 5 units to win 4.55 Texas +9 -110 vs Notre Dame
Risked 3 units to win 2.73 Wisconsin +12 -110 vs Alabama
NESLETTER College Football Prediction From Allen Eastman
Take #195 Georgia Southern (+19.5) over West Virginia (7:30 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 5)
I like this underdog play on Georgia Southern. This team beat Florida outright in 2013 and then nearly beat N.C. State and Georgia Tech on the road last year. They lost those two games by a total of just five points and I think they can upset WVU outright. This Georgia State team won nine games last year and brought a lot of talent back. Southern suspended its quarterback for the opener. But this line is an overreaction.
Southern is an option team. The quarterback doesn’t throw that much and the backup, Favian Upshaw, is an even better runner than the starter. Running back Matt Breida averaged nearly 9.0 yards per carry last year and will be facing a WVU defense that was not good against the run. WVU plays a 3-3-5 defense. That is set up to be better against the pass. They are going to struggle against the GSU option attack. This is way too many points, and I don’t see the visitors losing this game by more than two touchdowns. Take the points.
NEWSLETTER College Football Futures Prediction From Robert Ferringo :
Take #201 Wisconsin (+10.5) over Alabama (8 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 5)
As for this play in this marquee game, I am not going to rate it but I still like the value on the underdog. Alabama is still a premier program in college football. But they have been overrated for the last five years, as if Nick Saban and the Tide have magical powers that make them so much better than everyone else. They are just 20-21 ATS the past three seasons and are just 5-10 ATS in nonconference games in that time.The fact is that Alabama has skated by on easy, tailor-made schedules the past few years and haven’t been that impressive when they have had to step up and play equal talent. The Crimson Tide are in a major rebuild this year. They don’t have a quarterback and they have just three starters back on offense. Sure, the defense is still solid. But Wisconsin is used to dealing with top-tier defenses and they won’t change their game plan of trying to cram it down someone’s throat. The Badgers have six starters back from a Top 5 defense last season and both defenses are going to dominate this game.
This one should be ugly to watch. But it should also be low-scoring. And after Wisconsin nearly knocked off LSU in the opener last year – they led 24-7 in the second half – the Badgers showed that they could bang heads with anyone from the SEC. There is too much uncertainty for either team to be this large of a favorite, so I would take the points.
ras – right angle sports
ucla
southern mississippi
arkansas state
totals
over 51 – virginia vs ucla
over – fla atlantic vs tulsa
over 66.5 – bowling green vs tennessee
under 51 – wisconsin vs alabama
over 66 – arkansas st. vs usc
added
over 42 – penn st. vs temple
StatFox Super Situations™ – FoxSheets
CFB | MISSISSIPPI ST at SOUTHERN MISS
Play On – Any team (MISSISSIPPI ST) good passing team from last season – averaged 255 or more passing yards/game, game between two teams with 5 or less defensive starters returning, in the first month of the season
46-18 over the last 5 seasons. ( 71.9% | 26.2 units )CFB | LA LAFAYETTE at KENTUCKY
Play Against – A road team vs. the money line (LA LAFAYETTE) first 2 weeks of the year, after closing out last season strong with 4 or more wins in last 5 games, with an inexperienced QB as starter, in the first two weeks of the season
31-13 over the last 10 seasons. ( 70.5% | 0.0 units )CFB | TEXAS ST at FLORIDA ST
Play On – Favorites of 12 to 17.5 vs. the first half line (FLORIDA ST) in non-conference games, first month of the season, after closing out last season strong with 4 or more wins in last 5 games
76-37 over the last 10 seasons. ( 67.3% | 35.3 units )
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