- January 8, 2016 at 7:03 pm #24715
VEGAS SPORTS INFORMER
4 Unit Play. Take #103 Seattle -5
(1:05p.m., Sunday Jan 10)
Lets rewind to Sunday December 5, 2015 in Minnesota and the Seahawks destroyed the Vikings 38-7. Do I see another blowout Seahawks road victory yes because right now Russell Wilson has been playing some outstanding Quarterback football. Seattle has won 6 out of 7 games and their last 3 road games the Hawks haven’t allowed 7 points or more. The favorite in this series is 4-0 ATS and the defending NFC champs Seattle is also 5-2 ATS in the month of January.
3 Unit Play. Take #108 Washington +1
over Green Bay
(4:40p.m., Sunday Jan 10)
Green Bay has been playing some sorry football and the Packers head to Washington losers of back-to-back games. In those two losses the Packers scored a total of 21 points and their last road game the Packers defense gave up 38 points to the Arizona Cardinals. Washington has won 4-straight games and three of those wins the Skins averaged 35.6ppg. Playing the better team here and right now I don’t trust the Green Bay Packers offense.January 8, 2016 at 8:07 pm #24743
8-Unit Play. Take First Half – #103 Seattle (-2.5)
(1 p.m., Sunday, Jan. 10)
This play is from my NFL *411 System*
This is a play on Seattle for the *FIRST HALF*.
I think that the Seahawks are going to jump all over the Vikings in this game. Seattle was one play away from winning back-to-back Super Bowls. And they are good enough to win another championship this year. They won’t be slowed down in Minnesota against the upstart Vikings. Teddy Bridgewater is young and untested in these situations. He won’t be able to beat this veteran Seattle defense just like he wasn’t able to in his first game against them. Seattle won 38-7 against the Vikings just last month here in Minnesota. It is going to be a closer game this time. But this is one that Seattle should control from start to finish. They have beaten Minnesota three times in the last four seasons and have gotten off to fast starts in all of them. Bridgewater is not going to be very good in the cold and I think the Minnesota offense is going to struggle all day. Seattle is used to winning these big playoff games and have done so in all different weather conditions. Seattle is the play here. Allen EastmanJanuary 8, 2016 at 8:26 pm #24746
Seattle Seahawks (-5) at Minnesota Vikings
1:05 ET NBC
Biggest home field playoff edge of the Wild Card round goes to the Minnesota Vikings with the weather forecast calling for wind chill factors in negative numbers. In addition, the Seahawks will be playing this 1:00 ET start at 11:00 am body time. They enter this contest at 10-6 SU, compared to the Vikings’ 11-5 SU. Must note that all Wild Card home dogs are 13-9 SU, 15-6 ATS, including 9-3 ATS, if they have the better record!
The Vikings closed the season with a (20-13) win against rival Green Bay to claim the divisional crown. In so doing, they outrushed the Packers 151-76. Not that it did them any good, for other than the pride factor, they are still relegated to the Wild Card round, albeit the advantage of a home game. They are still asked to suit up against a Seattle team with far greater experience edge, as they have appeared in consecutive Super Bowls. Though the Vikings improved from 7-9 SU to 11-5 SU this season, much of it came courtesy of a relatively weak schedule. Last week’s victory vs. Green Bay was their only regular season win against a team who was greater than .500 at the time they played them. Must give credit to 2nd year HC Zimmer for turning around the fortunes of the Vikings. He did so with a blue collar work ethic that featured one of the NFL’s best running games that averaged 30/138/4.7 overland. It was aided by an outstanding defense allowing just 19 PPG. There was, however, inadequate balance in the passing game and they enter today being outgained by an average of 344-321 per game. That has not stopped them, however, from entering today’s playoffs on an under the radar 21-5 ATS mark. Today, Minnesota is asked to take a major step-up against an opponent, who defeated them (38-7) on this field December 6th. In that game, the Seahawks rushed for 173 yards and held a commanding yardage edge of 433-125.
That win vs. the Vikings was the 3rd victory in a season-ending run that would see this veteran Super Bowl team close 6-1 SU ATS. Though the Seahawks have plenty of playoff experience, note that HC Carroll is just 8-5 SU ATS in post-season play. That strong stretch run was aided by an improved offense that averaged 32 PPG on 402 YPG in the last half of the season. The Seahawks closed out the regular season with a resounding (36-6) victory against division champion Arizona, in which they outrushed the Cardinals 37/145 to 13/27, while profiting from a (+3) net TO margin for a (36-6) victory. Aided by the return of RB Lynch and the fact the Seahawks won their last 5 road games of the regular season by an average of 22 PPG, it appears that Seattle is once again primed for playoff success. For, as well as the Minnesota defense played this season, it is the Seattle stop unit that allowed just 17 PPG, 292 YPG, 5.1 defensive YP play and 82/3.6 overland (that is the superior stop unit on the field today).
Green Bay Packers (-1) at Washington Redskins
4:40 ET FOX
As noted in the previous game analysis of this week, should Washington remain a home underdog in this contest, we must remember that all Wild Card home dogs are 13-9 SU, 15-6 ATS. This is a game where it certainly seems that the home team has the more positive momentum. As a result of the Packers’ (20-13) loss to the Vikings last week, they have been relegated to the road for this Wild Card Playoff game. Here they will face a Washington team, who enters with far more positive momentum. Let’s take a look inside the numbers to see how that may translate to pointspread success in this game today.
After a 4-12 SU season of last, the Redskins rebounded with a 9-7 SU ATS mark in 2016. They concluded the season with a (34-23) outright underdog win against the Dallas Cowboys in which they benefitted from a (+4) net TO margin and outrushed the Cowboys 146-100. Still, it must be noted that they allowed Dallas’ QB Moore (in just his 2nd start) to lead the Cowboys to 412 yards through the air. In that regard, it is a negative for Wild Card teams, who come off an outright underdog division win in the previous week. That win, however, gives them positive momentum of 4 consecutive victories, as they line up for their first playoff game since 2012. QB Cousins came to life for HC Gruden in running the ball control West Coast offense in the latter stages of the season. Cousins completed 72% of his passes with a 23/3 ratio. Now, the Redskins have made the playoffs for just the 3rd time in 10 years. Consider the Peter Principle to be at work, as they may be well satisfied in just ascending to this playoff level after last year’s gloomy 4-12 SU season. Playoff teams who exceed their win total from the previous season by as great a margin, as did the Redskins, have a less than 10% opportunity for ATS success this season. Lest you get too excited about the Redskins’ recent 4-game winning streak, note that it came against the Bears, the Bills, the Eagles and the Cowboys, none of whom dot this year’s playoff landscape. In fact, Washington played just 3 fellow playoff teams this season. Though the games were all on the road, it resulted in a 0-3 SU ATS mark, including losses of (34-20) to the Jets, (27-10) to New England and (44-16) to Carolina. It may be a big step to ask them to succeed against a Green Bay team, who is making its 7th consecutive playoff appearance.
But, this certainly is not looking like a vintage Green Bay playoff team. They limped home with a 4-6 SU ATS mark, including losses in their final 2 games of the season by scores of (38-6) at Arizona and (20-13) at home to Minnesota last week with the division title on the line! In that game, they were outrushed by the Vikings 151-76. Main issue is a battered and bruised offensive line that has allowed playoff savvy QB Rodgers to be sacked 14 times in the last 2 weeks. Those results certainly do not give Packer backers much hope.January 8, 2016 at 8:34 pm #24748
NEWSLETTER NFL Football Prediction From Vernon Croy
Take #103 Seattle (-5.5) over Minnesota (1 p.m., Sunday, Jan. 10)
This pick falls into one of my top NFL systems, and I have Seattle winning this game by at least seven points here Sunday. Seattle is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 90 rushing yards in their previous game. I look for Seattle to shut down the Vikings running game for the most part and it will force Minnesota into costly turnovers. The favorite is a perfect 4-0 ATS in the last 4 games played between these two teams and Seattle is 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 road games when playing a team that has a winning record at home. Seattle has arguably the best defense in the NFL, allowing just 17.3 PPG, which ranks 1st, and they are No. 1 against the run. If the Vikings can’t move the ball on the ground I have them getting blown out Sunday against a Seahawks offense that has put up the 4th most yards in the NFL this season. Play Seattle ATS with confidenceJanuary 8, 2016 at 10:54 pm #24757
Green Bay (pk)January 8, 2016 at 10:58 pm #24759
GB PackersJanuary 8, 2016 at 11:16 pm #24762
Paul Bessire, Prediction Machine on the radio in KC
Minny 17January 9, 2016 at 11:40 am #24832
Seattle -5 over Minnesota
Green Bay PICK over WashingtonJanuary 9, 2016 at 11:41 am #24833
Wild Card SUN 3* Side Play BEST BET!
Green Bay Packers+1January 9, 2016 at 12:07 pm #24844
2* Minnesota VikingsJanuary 9, 2016 at 1:33 pm #24885
3* Seattle -4 over Minnesota 1:05 pm Sun-NBC
Green Bay (+1) over Washington 4:40 pm Sun-Fox
Under 39.5 – Seattle/Minnesota 1:05 pm Sun-NBC
Over 45 – Green Bay/Washington 4:40 pm Sun-FOXJanuary 9, 2016 at 1:36 pm #24889
3 units each
GB +1January 9, 2016 at 1:36 pm #24892
10* Green Bay +1January 9, 2016 at 5:22 pm #24982
Bankerz Bets NFL from SportsBetCappers
2U Teaser Seattle Seahawks (pk) & Washington Redskins +6January 9, 2016 at 5:36 pm #24998
2-units Seattle -5
7-units Packers money line
1-unit Under 40 (vikings/seahawks)
- You must be logged in to reply to this topic.