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NFL Week 14 • "Football Super Sunday! • 12/13/15

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  • #19052
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    SixthSense

    Week 14
    126 Houston +3.5 -120
    1 Unit

    120 Tampa Bay -3.5
    1 Unit

    105 Pittsburgh +3
    1 Unit

    107 Buffalo +1
    1 Unit
    *Must get at least 1 point

    #19053
    admin
    Keymaster

    NORTHCOAST SPORTS

    Early Bird – Denver -7

    Power Plays – 3’* Carolina -7.5

    Economy Club – Seattle -6

    #19054
    admin
    Keymaster

    StatFox Super Situations™ – FoxSheets

    NFL | TENNESSEE at NY JETS
    Play Under – Home teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team in the second half of the season
    29-8 since 1997. ( 78.4% | 20.2 units )

    NFL | OAKLAND at DENVER
    Play Against – Any team vs the money line (OAKLAND) off a home loss by 10 or more points, after the first month of the season
    117-51 over the last 5 seasons. ( 69.6% | 0.0 units )
    12-9 this year. ( 57.1% | 0.0 units )

    NFL | OAKLAND at DENVER
    Play On – Home favorites of 2 to 6 points vs. the first half line (DENVER) after 3 or more consecutive wins, a top-level team (>=75%) playing a team with a losing record in the second half of the season
    46-18 since 1997. ( 71.9% | 26.2 units )
    1-1 this year. ( 50.0% | -0.1 units )

    NFL | SAN DIEGO at KANSAS CITY
    Play Under – Home teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team in the second half of the season
    29-8 since 1997. ( 78.4% | 20.2 units )

    NFL | NEW ORLEANS at TAMPA BAY
    Play Against – Underdogs vs. the money line (NEW ORLEANS) after a home game where both teams scored 24 or more points, a bad team, winning 25% to 40% of their games, in the second half of the season
    85-25 since 1997. ( 77.3% | 0.0 units )
    1-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 0.0 units )

    NFL | SEATTLE at BALTIMORE
    Play Against – Road favorites (SEATTLE) an average defensive team (18 to 23 PPG) against a poor defensive team (23-27 PPG), after allowing 9 points or less last game
    29-8 since 1997. ( 78.4% | 20.2 units )
    1-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 1.0 units )

    NFL | INDIANAPOLIS at JACKSONVILLE
    Play Against – Any team vs the money line (INDIANAPOLIS) in a game involving two poor rushing teams (70-95 RY/game) after 8+ games, after gaining 75 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games
    43-20 since 1997. ( 68.3% | 0.0 units )
    0-1 this year. ( 0.0% | 0.0 units )

    #19055
    admin
    Keymaster

    Betting First Look Show with Marco D’Angelo

    ‘2 Team 6pts Teaser’
    Carolina Panthers
    Green Bay Packers

    #19334
    admin
    Keymaster

    JACK JONES

    25* Chargers +10

    20* Falcons +7.5

    15* Titans +7.5

    15* Steelers +3

    15* Patriots -3

    #19393
    admin
    Keymaster

    NORTHCOAST SPORTS

    NFL Totals – Dallas / Green Bay – Under 43

    #19394
    admin
    Keymaster

    BIG AL MCMORDIE

    BIG AL’s 94% (15-1 ATS) NFL ROAD WARRIOR WINNER!

    Game Date/Time: 12/13/15 1:00 pm
    Our Selection: Pittsburgh Steelers
    Opponent: Bengals Line: +3 Rating: 3*
    Analysis: At 1 pm, our selection is on the Pittsburgh Steelers + the points over Cincinnati. We played on Pitt last Sunday night, and got the cash when they blew out Indy, 45-10. That moved the Steelers’ record to 7-5, and they’re firmly in the Playoff hunt. The Bengals are 10-2, which leads the AFC North division, and have won their last two games — 31-7 vs. St. Louis, and 37-3 at Cleveland. Off those two stellar defensive efforts, the knee-jerk reaction might be to play Cincy, at home, as a small favorite vs. Pittsburgh. Unfortunately, teams off back to back games in which they didn’t give up 10+ points, have only covered 92 of 241, provided they weren’t underdogs of +3 or more points. And if they’re playing in the regular season vs. an opponent which scored 34+ points in its previous game, then our stat zooms to 15-1 ATS its last 16! Grab the points with the Steelers on Sunday afternoon.

    BIG AL’s 84% ATS NFL ROADKILL WINNER!

    Game Date/Time: 12/13/15 1:00 pm
    Our Selection: Cleveland Browns
    Opponent: 49ers Line: -1 Rating: Opinion
    Analysis: At 1 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Browns minus the points over San Francisco. We played on the 49ers last week, and got the $$$$ when they upset Chicago at Soldier Field. But off that big upset win, I look for a letdown on Sunday vs. Cleveland, which was blown out by Cincy, 37-3, last week. But losing teams, which are favored (or PK) off a SU/ATS loss in which they failed to cover by 8+ points, are 56-32 ATS vs. foes off a win. Moreover, home favorites have cashed 84% vs. non-division foes since 1980, if our home team is off a home loss, in which it scored 3 points or less. Finally, San Francisco falls into a negative 47-90 ATS system of mine which goes against certain teams off upset wins. Take Cleveland.

    BIG AL’s 100% PERFECT (11-0 ATS) NFL ELITE INFO!

    Game Date/Time: 12/13/15 4:05 pm
    Our Selection: Oakland Raiders
    Opponent: Broncos Line: +7.5 Rating: Opinion
    Analysis: At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Oakland Raiders + the points over Denver. Last week, the Raiders and Broncos were both involved in division games. Oakland lost, 34-20, as a 3-point dog to KC, while Denver downed San Diego, 17-3, as a 6-point favorite. One of the things I love to do is play on revenge-minded teams in division games off SU/ATS division losses, if their foe is off a SU/ATS division win. And, if our ‘play-on’ team is an underdog (or PK), then this revenge angle has cashed 69% since 1980. Of course, there’s nothing wrong with 69%. But we can improve our system to 11-0, 100%, if our team is off a home loss, and our opponent covered the spread in its previous game by a touchdown, or more. Also, the Raiders are a super 39-17 ATS as division road underdogs priced from +2.5 to +9 points over the past 36 seasons. Take Oakland.

    BIG AL’s 100% SUNDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL GAME OF YEAR!

    Game Date/Time: 12/13/15 8:30 pm
    Our Selection: Houston Texans
    Opponent: Patriots Line: +3.5 Rating: 3*
    Analysis: At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Houston Texans + the points over New England. It’s true that the Patriots have generally responded well off a straight-up loss. Since December 29, 2002, they’re 38-6 SU and 32-12 in that situation. But we still went against New England last week following its loss at Denver. And the Patriots dropped their second straight game, 35-28, as a 7.5-point favorite, at home to the Eagles. It’s also true that New England hasn’t lost three straight games since November 2002. But one can throw all of these great New England team trends out the window, as this current version is just too injury-ravaged right now to play up the the level of past teams. For technical support, consider that road teams, with a winning SU/ATS record, are 0-14-1 ATS off back to back upset losses since 1980, if they’re matched up against an opponent off a straight-up loss. Take Houston.

    “3-GAME NFL PACKAGE”!

    Baltimore Ravens

    San Diego Chargers

    St. Louis Rams / Detroit Lions
    OVER

    #19399
    admin
    Keymaster

    PHILLYGODFATHER

    3% Pittsburgh Steelers +3.5

    #19400
    admin
    Keymaster

    SPARTAN

    MONSTER NFL TRIPLE RABID DOG!
    Dallas Cowboys

    #19439
    admin
    Keymaster

    VEGAS SPORTS INFORMER

    NFL FOOTBALL WEEK #14 PLAYS

    5 Unit Play. Take #114 Chicago -3.5
    over Washington (1:05p.m., Sunday December 13)
    Washington comes to the Windy City off a terrible home loss Monday night against the Dallas Cowboys and now the Skins have a short week to prepare. The Bears are also coming off a horrible loss last week as they lost to the 49ers at home 26-20 in overtime so Sunday afternoon I see a pissed off Bears squad taking this home game. I know both teams are coming off two out three losses but I like this spot for the Bears as Washington is horrible on the road. Washington has dropped 3-straight road games by double-digits and hasn’t won a road game all season long. Chicago is horrible at home but again since they get Washington on a short week I believe the Bears take this home game by a touchdown or more. Washington is 1-5 ATS in the month of December and the Bears are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games.

    3 Unit Play. Take #125 Over 45
    New England at Houston
    (8:30p.m., Sunday December 13)
    Both teams last three games two of them have gone OVER and I see both teams able to score on each others defense. We all know that New England will score touchdowns and the Texans are averaging 23ppg in their last 3 games. New England is 5-1 O/U in their last 6 road games and Houston is 7-2 O/U against AFC teams.

    4 Unit Play. Take #130 Green Bay -7
    over Dallas (3:25p.m., Sunday December 13)
    Hopefully that miracle touchdown pass Aaron Rodgers threw last week to beat the Lions will motivate Green Bay to dominate this game. Last time the Packers played at home was on Thanksgiving and the Bears came out with a rare road victory so Sunday late afternoon I see the Packers winning this game by double-digits. Dallas comes to this game in Green Bay off a short week and I just don’t see the Boys winning back-to-back road games. The Dallas Cowboys are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games and the Packers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games against NFC teams.

    #19470
    admin
    Keymaster

    WUNDERDOG

    Game: Dallas Cowboys (129) @ Green Bay Packers (130)
    Time: Sunday 12/13 4:25 PM Eastern
    Pick: Game Total OVER 42 (-110)
    The Green Bay Packers were supposed to have one of the best offenses in the NFL before the season started. It certainly started out that way, so blaming what has happened on the absence of Jordy Nelson doesn’t hold a lot of water. I think Green Bay needed something big and good to happen for them, and they got that last week with a 61 yard Hail Mary pass connection by Aaron Rodgers. Sometimes it takes something crazy like that for wake up an offense that has certainly proven they can get it done without Nelson. Remember the Packers were 6-0 and scoring 27.3 points per game. That pass also gave the Packers 27 points in Detroit last week, more than the Lions had given up in weeks. The Packers defense is a tad under average, allowing 5.7 yards per play to teams that combine to average 5.6. I also think Dallas has something to play for for the first time this season at just one game off the pace in the NFC East. This is the lowest home total for Green Bay this year, and they have been 21-10 to the OVER in this building in their last 31 to a total of less than 45. Play the OVER.

    #19495
    admin
    Keymaster

    Jason Sample

    Bears / Skins – UNDER 43.5

    Bills / Eagles – OVER 46.5 (2x)

    Titans / Jets – OVER 43

    GB /KC / Carolina (+104) (2x)

    Pitt +9 / Buf +7

    #19496
    admin
    Keymaster

    Cousin Sal – ESPN

    Best Bet (10-3)
    Seattle

    Other – Cincy
    Teaser – Denver / Miami

    #19497
    admin
    Keymaster

    Mike Francesa – WFAN
    LW (2-0) YR (24-14)

    KC – 10
    Chi – 3
    Cin – 3

    #19553
    admin
    Keymaster

    SMART SPORTS INVESTMENTS

    Risked 5 units to win 3.85
    Detroit Lions -2.5 -130 vs St. Louis Rams

    Risked 5 units to win 5
    Pittsburgh Steelers +2.5 +100 vs Cincinnati Bengals

    Risked 4 units to win 3.33
    Jacksonville Jaguars PK -120 vs Indianapolis Colts

    Risked 5 units to win 4.76
    New England Patriots -3.5 -105 vs Houston Texans​

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