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NFL Week 6 – Previews. Articles, Info. Sunday 10/18/15

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  • #9179
    admin
    Keymaster

    Essential Week 6 Betting Notes for NFL Sunday

    Looking for some quick-hitting betting info for Week 6 of the NFL slate? We break down all the need-to-know facts and figures for Sunday’s NFL matchups.

    Washington Redskins at New York Jets (-7, 40.5)

    * Redskins QB Kirk Cousins is slowly building support among Redskin fans, completing 68 percent of his passes with five touchdowns, and he may get his best deep threat back this week. Wide receiver DeSean Jackson, who led the league in yards per catch last season, has ramped up his workouts during practice while recovering from a hamstring injury.

    * The Jets welcome back defensive end Sheldon Richardson after a four-game drug suspension, but he is only expected to play about 20 snaps. The Mizzou product had 66 combined tackles, eight sacks and one forced fumble last season.

    Arizona Cardinals at Pittsburgh Steelers (+3.5, 45)

    * The Cardinals signed veteran DE Dwight Freeney on Monday and expect to use him for 15-20 snaps per game to rush the passer.

    * Michael Vick is getting a handle on the offense but has not been connecting with prolific receiver Antonio Brown, who recorded 50 yards or more in 35 straight games with Ben Roethlisberger but has failed to reach that mark in two contests with Vick. “You have to pick and choose your spots,” Vick told reporters. “Not to say I don’t have confidence in myself or confidence in (Brown), it’s just kind of where we’re at in the game. But trust me, those plays are going to come.”

    Kansas City Chiefs at Minnesota Vikings (-3.5, 43.5)

    * Losing Jamaal Charles (knee) for the season is a devastating blow to an offense that has struggled to move the ball through the air consistently. Charcandrick West and Knile Davis are in line to pick up more work in the backfield, but quarterback Alex Smith will need to be more than simply a game manager for the offense to succeed.

    * Minnesota has allowed only four return yards on 16 punts this season, a league-low average of 0.8 yards per return.

    Cincinnati Bengals at Buffalo Bills (+3, 43)

    * Bengals receiver A.J. Green had 10 catches for 221 yards and a TD in two matchups versus Buffalo (2013, 2011).

    * Weather in Buffalo is expected to be cold with a chance of snow and/or rain. Temperatures should be around the high-30s/low-40s with a chance of snow turning into a chance of rain later on. Wind looks like it will blow toward the SE end zone at around nine mph.

    Chicago Bears at Detroit Lions (-3, 44)

    * The Bears have not fared well in recent travels to the Motor City, going 1-4 SU and 0-5 ATS in their last five visits.

    * Wideout Golden Tate caused some friction for the second time this season after he voiced his displeasure with the fans’ negative reaction to Detroit’s performance last week. “I understand where our fan base is coming from as far as their patience with this organization and a lot of people put it in perspective,” Tate told the team’s website. “And I’ll just keep it at that.”

    Denver Broncos at Cleveland Browns (+4, 42.5)

    * Despite Peyton Manning’s difficulties (seven interceptions to six touchdowns, 20th-ranked completion percentage at 63.5), the Broncos have yet to lose thanks to a defense that leads the league in sacks (22), turnovers (14) and fewest yards allowed per game (278).

    * The Browns are looking for a repeat performance from Josh McCown, who threw for a club-record 457 yards in last week’s 33-30 overtime triumph over Baltimore. The 36-year-old could wind up being a sitting duck for the Broncos’ defense, however, as he is nursing a left ankle injury he suffered in overtime versus the Ravens.

    Houston Texans at Jacksonville Jaguars (-1, 43)

    * The Texans hope their recent dominance over the Jaguars will help them stay out of the AFC South cellar when the division rivals square off Sunday in Jacksonville. The Texans have won seven of the last nine meetings, including a sweep of the season series last year. Houston is 4-4-1 ATS in those previous nine meetings.

    * The silver lining thus far for Jacksonville is the improved play of quarterback Blake Bortles, who passed for 303 yards and four touchdowns for a career-best 125.4 rating in last week’s loss. Along with rookie running back T.J. Yeldon and second-year receivers Allen Robinson and Allen Hurns, the Jaguars have compiled a solid, young offensive arsenal.

    Miami Dolphins at Tennessee Titans (-1.5, 43.5)

    * Dan Campbell’s aggressive attitude has brought a smile to the face of offseason acquisition Ndamukong Suh, a physical defensive tackle who often walks a fine line in his own right. “I love Dan’s opinion,” Suh told reporters. “I love his motto in toeing line and just being a physical and downhill team; setting the tempo and setting the tone of the game.”

    * The Titans have surrendered just 167 passing yards per game, 19 fewer than the next closest teams (New York Jets, Chicago, Green Bay).

    Carolina Panthers at Seattle Seahawks (-7, 41)

    * The Carolina Panthers have gone 0-4 SU and ATS in games coming off a bye week in the Ron Rivera era.

    * Seahawks quarterback Russell Wilson is 28-2 with a 99.7 QB rating at home, including the postseason. The Seahawks are 20-9-1 ATS in those home games.

    San Diego Chargers at Green Bay Packers (-10.5, 50.5)

    * Philip Rivers, who threw for 365 yards and two touchdowns versus the Steelers, leads the NFL with 1,613 yards and brings the league’s second-ranked passing attack (318 yards per game) and third-best offense (410 yards per game) into Lambeau Field.

    * The Packers are the only team left that is both 5-0 SU and ATS. They’ve won 11 in a row at Lambeau and are 9-1-1 ATS in those games.

    Baltimore Ravens at San Francisco 49ers (+2, 43)

    * Baltimore’s defense was bitten hard by the injury bug last week as Lardarius Webb suffered a torn ACL that landed him on injured reserve. Fellow cornerback Will Davis (thigh) and linebacker Elvis Dumervil (groin) also went down and are questionable to face San Francisco.

    * The 49ers have lost four-straight games heading into this one, but were unlucky in a 30-27 loss to the New York Giants last week. They covered the spread as 7.5-point dogs, giving them their first ATS win since Week 1.

    New England Patriots at Indianapolis Colts (+7.5, 54.5)

    * The Patriots have won the previous six meetings (including the playoffs) have have covered the spread in the previous four. The Over has cashed in seven consecutive meetings between the two teams.

    * After a sluggish start to the season, Pro Bowl wideout Andre Johnson had a pair of touchdown receptions in the Colts’ 27-20 victory over Houston on Oct. 8. Fellow veteran Frank Gore found the end zone versus the Texans and has three scores in the last three weeks.

    #9190
    admin
    Keymaster

    Patriots-Colts will be the biggest decision at sportsbooks so far this season

    There are several intriguing matchups on the Week 6 NFL board, but, at least from a betting perspective, perhaps none more so than the New England Patriots’ visit to the Indianapolis Colts on Sunday Night Football.

    We talk to John Lester, senior lines manager at BookMaker.eu, and Peter Childs, oddsmaker at Sportsbook, about the action coming in on some of the biggest games on the Week 6 NFL board.

    Arizona Cardinals at Pittsburgh Steelers – Open: +4.5, Move: +5.5, Move: +4, Move: +4.5

    The Cards rebounded from a 24-22 loss to the St. Louis Rams in Week 4 with a 42-17 smackdown of the Detroit Lions as 4-point favorites one week ago. The cover improved them to 4-1 ATS which is one of the top records in the league heading into Sunday’s action.

    When Carson Palmer and company cover a spread, they do it with relative ease and the betting public has been in love with trend since the cards beat the New Orleans Saints 31-19 as 2-point home favorites in Week 1.

    “We opened Cardinals -4.5 and all the initial public money was on the road favorite, but then we booked some very sharp action on the dog that pushed us down to 4 and then 3.5 before going back to 4, which was our number for most of the week,” Childs says. “While we ultimately respect the sharp money on the Steelers, the public is in love with this Cardinals team and have backed them week in and week out this season and all the Cardinals have done is pay out those bettors, going 4-1 ATS. Just this morning, with over 85% of the action on the Cardinals we went back to our opening number of 4.5 and I believe this line will continue to climb. While sharps might be the on the dog, it’s the only money we’ve seen bet on the dog as the public has fully backed the road favorite here.”

    Cincinnati Bengals at Buffalo Bills – Open: Pick, Move: +3.5, Move: +3

    The Bengals have been a favorite of sharp bettors so far this season and when lines hit the board for this matchup in Buffalo, they jumped all over Cincy at a Pick.

    The AFC North leaders have recorded an excellent 4-0-1 mark against the spread through the opening five weeks of the campaign, thanks partly due to the spectacular play of quarterback Andy Dalton, who heads into Buffalo with a 115.6 rating, the highest in franchise history.

    The Bills will look to EJ Manuel to put in work under center after Tyrod Taylor suffered a sprained ankle late in last week’s 14-13 win at the Tennessee Titans.

    “We opened at a PK and immediately took some smart money on Cincinnati,” notes Lester. “As I’ve said previously, we’ve had a group of respected clients that have backed the Bengals almost every week. Of course, the public has chimed in after the playing status of Taylor was determined, but the line had already steamed upward. There’s only a point or two difference for us between Taylor and EJ Manuel. We went as high as +3.5 but that only lasted a few hours as there was some buyback from the players who got the early line.”

    San Diego Chargers at Green Bay Packers – Open: -9.5, Move: -10.5

    While we’re on the subject of teams near the top of the ATS standings, nobody has been better than the Packers, who have won all five of their games SU and ATS on the season. Add to that the fact that this will be at Lambeau Field, where the Packers have gone 11-0 SU and 9-1-1 ATS in the previous 11 games, and you get a lot of action on the green and gold.

    The bulk of the action has been on the Packers, but, as Lester points out, sharp money might come in on the Bolts depending on how this line climbs ahead of kickoff.

    “In the first 24 hours or so we went from -9.5 to -10.5, but we haven’t seen much movement since,” Lester tells Covers. “I expect some of the sharper guys are waiting to see how high it will go before jumping on the dog. Action has been pretty one-sided thus far with about 75 percent of it on Green Bay, but I do expect the overall handle to come back a bit on Sunday. We obviously have a ton of teasers tied into the Packers, so per usual, we’ll be rooting for the afternoon underdog.”

    New England Patriots at Indianapolis Colts – Open: +7, Move: +8, Move: +9, Move: 10

    This has been easily the most bet game on the Week 6 board with bucket loads of money pouring in on the Patriots in this rematch of the AFC Championship Game.

    Yes. The game which prompted the Colts to report the deflated balls to the NFL.

    Childs admits that when his book opened the Pats -7, it was “an awful opener for this game” as nothing but Pats money came in, forcing them to go to 8, then 9, 9.5 and finally, at 10, some Colts money came in from both the betting public and the sharps.

    “That sharp money pushed us back down to 9.5, but again we’re submerged with Patriots money and as I write this we’re currently discussing with my managers about going back to 10,” Childs says. “Ninety percent of the money and tickets are on the Pats. This is a late, primetime NBC game and there’s no question it will be the biggest decision we’ll have so far this football season. Safe to say we also have written nothing but Patriots teaser money. Literally 85 percent of every teaser we’ve written has the Pats tied to them, be it in the colleges or pros, our bettors flat out don’t see how the Patriots lose this game. Quite honestly, nor do I but it’s the NFL and getting that many points at home is usually a good proposition for the home team.”

    #9205
    admin
    Keymaster

    Nover’s View

    NFL Week 6 Overrated/Underrated Injuries

    The NFL Week 6 overrated/underrated list brings out the name Marquess Wilson. No, this underrated Bears wide receiver isn’t hurt. But all the other Chicago receivers of importance are banged up.

    Tight end Martellus Bennett joins Alshon Jeffery and Eddie Royal as questionable for Sunday’s NFC North Division battle versus Detroit. Those are Jay Cutler’s three top receiving targets.

    Detroit, however, has a thin defensive line with tackles Haloti Ngata and Tyrunn Walker not expected to play. Also out is star linebacker DeAndre Levy, who promptly got hurt again during his first appearance of the season last week.

    From a fantasy perspective this could mean a heavy work load for Matt Forte and more opportunity for Wilson, who caught six passes for 85 yards and a touchdown in last week’s Bears’ upset win against Kansas City.

    Defensive injuries produce two more fantasy thoughts: Jordan Matthews and Brandon Marshall.

    Matthews has been a huge disappointment, but the Eagles’ wide receiver could finally break through with a monster game against the Giants on Monday night. The Giants’ pass defense ranks last in the league – and that was with their best cornerback, Prince Amukamara.

    Amukamara is out at least a couple of weeks with a pectoral injury replaced by diminutive Jayron Hosley, who is five inches shorter and 45 pounds lighter than Matthews.

    The Jets’ Marshall is another big receiver, who should be able to take advantage of the Redskins’ cluster cornerback injury situation where DeAngelo Hall, Chris Culliver and Bashaud Breeland all figure to be out.

    The key injury list doesn’t end there for the Redskins. They will be without left tackle Trent Williams, their best offensive lineman, and center Kory Lichtensteiger. The Jets are an especially rough opponent to line up against minus two offensive line starters.

    The Saints still may be partying down Bourbon Street after upsetting the Falcons on Thursday, but their victory came with a price. New Orleans is down to its third-string offensive left tackle after first-round draft pick Andrus Peat suffered a sprained MCL. Starter Terron Armstead has a knee injury, too, leaving journeyman Tony Hills as the nominal blind side protector for Drew Brees.

    Adrian Peterson is rounding into form as the league’s best running back again. Peterson and the Vikings catch a break drawing the demoralized Chiefs, who will be without run-stuffing nose tackle Dontari Poe. He has a high ankle sprain.

    #9213
    admin
    Keymaster

    Giants WR Beckham Jr. questionable
    Oct 17, 2015

    New York Giants wide receiver Odell Beckham Jr. is listed as questionable for Monday night’s game at the Philadelphia Eagles because of a hamstring injury.

    Beckham, who has not practiced this week, sustained the injury last Sunday against the San Francisco 49ers.

    Tom Coughlin said he hopes Beckham can practice Sunday.

    Another injured wide receiver, Rueben Randle, is probable with an injured hamstring. He has been limited in practice this week.

    Also probable are guard Justin Pugh (ankle) and defensive end George Selvie (calf).

    The Giants have several players listed as questionable, including defensive end Robert Ayers back (hamstring), linebackers Jon Beason (concussion) and Jonathan Casillas (calf), and cornerback Trumaine McBride (groin/illness).

    New York ruled out cornerback Prince Amukamara (pectoral), linebacker Devon Kennard (hamstring) and wide receiver Victor Cruz (calf).

    #9214
    admin
    Keymaster

    NFL Notebook: Texans’ Watt questionable with illness

    The Houston Texans added Pro Bowl defensive end J.J. Watt to the injury report with an illness for Sunday’s game against the Jacksonville Jaguars.

    Watt, who hasn’t missed a game in his career due to injury, is listed as questionable after practicing all week. On Saturday, the team said whether Watt plays will be determined by how he feels before the game.

    Watt, who leads the Texans with four sacks, was not listed on the official injury report Friday.

    According to ESPN.com, Watt is the fourth player for the Texans (1-4) to become sick this week. Receiver Jaelen Strong, cornerback A.J. Bouye and practice squad quarterback Zac Dysert all missed practices. Strong also is questionable, while Bouye is listed as probable.

    Outside linebacker Jadeveon Clowney was ruled out Friday with a sprained ankle.

    —The Buffalo Bills have not named a starting quarterback for Sunday’s game against the undefeated Cincinnati Bengals, but ESPN is reporting that E.J. Manuel will get the call in place of the injured Tyrod Taylor.

    Manuel, who took the majority of the first-team snaps in practice, has not played this season after losing the job to Taylor. Manuel completed 58 percent of his passes for 838 yards, five touchdowns and three interceptions in five games last season.

    Taylor was limited in practice after suffering a sprained MCL in Buffalo’s 14-13 victory over the Tennessee Titans last week. The sixth-round draft pick in 2011 by Baltimore has a 70.1 percent completion rate while throwing for 1,097 yards, nine touchdowns and four interceptions in five games this season.

    —Washington Redskins wide receiver DeSean Jackson was ruled out from playing Sunday’s game against the New York Jets because of a hamstring injury.

    Jackson was downgraded from questionable after not traveling with the team to New Jersey on Saturday. He was injured in the Redskins’ season opener without making a reception.

    —The Chicago Bears placed defensive end Ego Ferguson on season-ending injured reserve and signed defensive lineman Bruce Gaston.

    The Bears had listed Ferguson as doubtful for Sunday’s game against the Detroit Lions with a knee injury. The second-year player appeared in four games this season, making three tackles. Ferguson has appeared in 20 games with one start over two seasons, recording 36 tackles and two sacks.

    Gaston has appeared in two games this season with the Green Bay Packers, with one tackle. The 6-foot-2, 310-pound Gaston entered the NFL in 2014 with the Arizona Cardinals as an undrafted free agent out of Purdue.

    —New York Giants wide receiver Odell Beckham Jr. is listed as questionable for Monday night’s game at the Philadelphia Eagles because of a hamstring injury.

    Beckham, who has not practiced this week, sustained the injury last Sunday against the San Francisco 49ers.

    Another injured wide receiver, Rueben Randle, is probable with an injured hamstring. He has been limited in practice this week. Also probable are guard Justin Pugh (ankle) and defensive end George Selvie (calf). New York ruled out cornerback Prince Amukamara (pectoral), linebacker Devon Kennard (hamstring) and wide receiver Victor Cruz (calf).

    —Eagles wide receiver Nelson Agholor will miss Monday night’s game against the Giants with an ankle injury.

    Agholor practiced on a limited basis Saturday after not participating Thursday and Friday.

    Running back Ryan Mathews is questionable with a groin injury. He has rushed for a team-high 205 yards this season.

    The Eagles will be without linebacker Kiko Alonso (knee), defensive end Brandon Bair (groin), and linebacker Mychal Kendricks (hamstring).

    —Dallas Cowboys owner Jerry Jones said Brandon Weeden was too cautious and the struggling team now needs a quarterback to take more chances.

    Jones said he expects next week’s starting quarterback, Matt Cassel, will take those chances for the 2-3 Cowboys.

    “I think he’s also got experience in basically just stepping up in the pocket and making some plays,” Jones said of Cassel. “Now, he will, with that experience though, do something that Weeden was not doing. Weeden was so conservative, he was coached to be conservative to a degree, but he was not taking chances with that ball. Now, we know you can’t make plays if you don’t take some chances. So, we’ll see more of that. We could see the risk of that hit us a little bit, but hopefully we’ll be getting our share of them over on the defense with this group we’ve got.”

    Coach Jason Garrett confirmed Wednesday that Cassel will take over for Weeden at quarterback when the Cowboys, coming off their bye week, face the New York Giants on Oct. 25. The Cowboys are winless in three games without injured Tony Romo as their starting quarterback.

    —The Indianapolis Colts elevated inside linebacker Amarlo Herrera to the 53-man roster from the practice squad and released return specialist Marcus Thigpen.

    Herrera’s promotion may be because linebackers Jerrell Freeman (groin) and Nate Irving (knee) are both listed as questionable for Sunday night’s game against the New England Patriots.

    The 6-foot-1, 249-pound Herrera was signed to the Colts’ practice squad on Sept. 8. He was selected by the Colts in the sixth round of the 2015 NFL Draft out of Georgia.

    —The Denver Broncos elevated running back Kapri Bibbs from the practice squad to the active roster and released tight end Richard Gordon.

    The Broncos are 30th in the league in rushing, averaging just 3.3 yards per carry. Denver had just two healthy running backs on the roster — C.J. Anderson and Ronnie Hillman — for Sunday’s game against the Cleveland Browns. Juwan Thompson was limited this week because of a hamstring injury.

    The 5-11, 203-pound Bibbs is a second-year player who spent four weeks of his rookie season in 2014 on Denver’s active roster. He was signed by the team as a college free agent from Colorado State.

    —The Baltimore Ravens promoted running back Terrence Magee from their practice squad to the active roster and waived cornerback Charles James II.

    Magee was on the team’s 53-man roster to start the season but did not play in the opener. Baltimore signed him as an undrafted rookie free agent in May.

    #9215
    admin
    Keymaster

    Panthers have slumped in games following a bye week
    Andrew Avery Oct 17

    The bye week is supposed to be a week where teams get extra time to prepare, rest and gameplan for their next matchup. But apparently Ron Rivera and the Carolina Panthers did not get the memo.

    In the Ron Rivera era, the Panthers have gone 0-4 straight up and against the spread in games following their bye week.

    That’s the spot the Panthers are in as they visit the Seattle Seahawks Sunday afternoon. The Seahawks opened as 6.5-point home faves, but that has since moved to -7.

    #9216
    admin
    Keymaster

    Packers rolling along at Lambeau Field
    Andrew Avery Oct 17, 2015

    The Green Bay Packers have reeled off 11 consecutive wins at Lambeau Field and will look to make it a cool dozen with the San Diego Chargers in town Sunday afternoon.

    They’ve been an extremely good wager in those as well, posting a record of 9-1-1 against the spread.

    The Pack have gone 3-0 SU and ATS on home turf this season and the only ATS loss they suffered during their recent stretch was back in Week 14 last season when they defeated the Atlanta Falcons 43-37, but failed to cover as 13.5-point favorites.

    Books opened the Packers as 9.5-point home faves but that has gone up a full point to -10.5.

    #9217
    admin
    Keymaster

    Report: Bills to start Manuel at QB

    The Buffalo Bills have not named a starting quarterback for Sunday’s game against the undefeated Cincinnati Bengals, but ESPN is reporting that E.J. Manuel will get the call in place of the injured Tyrod Taylor.

    Manuel, who took the majority of the first-team snaps in practice, has not played this season after losing the job to Taylor. Manuel completed 58 percent of his passes for 838 yards, five touchdowns and three interceptions in five games last season.

    Taylor was limited in practice after suffering a sprained MCL in Buffalo’s 14-13 victory over the Tennessee Titans last week. The sixth round draft pick in 2011 by Baltimore has a 70.1 percent completion rate while throwing for 1,097 yards, nine touchdowns and four interceptions in five games this season.

    #9218
    admin
    Keymaster

    Redskins rule out WR Jackson

    Washington Redskins wide receiver DeSean Jackson was ruled out from playing Sunday’s game against the New York Jets because of a hamstring injury.

    Jackson was downgraded from questionable after not traveling with the team to New Jersey on Saturday.

    Jackson was injured in the Redskins’ season opener without making a reception.

    #9219
    admin
    Keymaster

    Bears backers look for slump in Detroit to end Sunday
    Andrew Avery Oct 17, 2015

    The Chicago Bears have won just two of their past five trips to Detroit to face the Lions and have lost all five of those visits against the spread.

    Chicago’s last win in Detroit was 2012 when it triumphed 26-24 but failed to cover the spread as a 3-point road favorite.

    Ford Field will be the setting Sunday as the Bears visit their NFC North rivals. Books opened the Bears as 2.5-point road pups, but that has since moved to +3.

    #9220
    admin
    Keymaster

    Ravens RB Forsett a game-day decision

    Baltimore Ravens starting running back Justin Forsett was listed as questionable for Sunday’s game against the San Francisco 49ers because of an ankle injury, and coach John Harbaugh said Friday that Forsett will be a game-day decision.

    Forsett ran for 150 and 121 yards in the Ravens’ last two games, and has played well recently after a slow start.

    If Forsett cannot play, the Ravens will be without two running backs. Lorenzo Taliaferro was placed on season-ending injured reserve on Wednesday because of a foot injury.

    Rookie running back Buck Allen could be the starter on Sunday if Forsett can’t go. Allen has rushed for 124 yards, with a 4.8 average per carry this season.

    #9273
    admin
    Keymaster

    Andrew Luck set to return for Colts Sunday night
    By ANDREW AVERY

    According to a report from Ian Rapoport, the Indianapolis Colts will have Andrew Luck under center when they host the New England Patriots on Sunday Night Football.

    Luck missed the previous two games with a shoulder injury, but 40-year-old Matt Hasselbeck was able to lead to team to wins over the Jacksonville Jaguars and Houston Texans (1-1 against the spread).

    Books opened the Colts as 7-point home dogs for the Sunday nighter and nothing but Pats money showed up making this a massive game for books.

    “Ninety percent of the money and tickets are on the Pats,” Peter Childs of Sportsbook. “This is a late, primetime NBC game and there’s no question it will be the biggest decision we’ll have so far this football season.”

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