Home › Forums › NFL Service Plays › NFL Week 7 – "Football Super Sunday! Service Plays 10/25/15
- This topic has 138 replies, 1 voice, and was last updated 7 years, 4 months ago by admin. This post has been viewed 5239 times
- October 22, 2015 at 11:35 am #9837
459 NY Jets +9 for 1 Unit
471 Dallas +3.5 -115 for 1 Unit
465 Tampa Bay +3.5 -120 for 1 Unit
473 Philadelphia/Carolina – Under 46 for 1 Unit
462 Detroit +2 for 1 Unit
*Was hoping for three but now going the other way.
475 Baltimore/Arizona – Over 48.5 for 1 Unit
469 Oakland/San Diego – Over 47 for 1 Unit
Some 46.5’s out there as well.October 22, 2015 at 11:42 am #9839
AGAINST THE SPREAD PICKS
Rot Time (ET) Pick Opp Line Margin Pick% $
473 8:30 PM PHI @ CAR 3 -1.2 54.5% $22
Rot Time (ET) Favorite Opp Points For Points Against Win%
474 8:30 PM @ CAR vs PHI 22.2 21.0 53.5%
Home Rot Time (ET) Matchup Line Total Points Pick Pick% $
474 8:30 PM PHI @ CAR 46.5 43.2 Under 55.8% $36October 23, 2015 at 10:11 am #10007
StatFox Super Situations™ – FoxSheets
NFL | NY JETS at NEW ENGLAND
Play Over – Road teams against the total dominant team – outgaining their opponents by 1.25 or more yards/play, after gaining 400 or more total yards in their previous game
59-26 since 1997. ( 69.4% | 30.4 units )
NFL | NEW ORLEANS at INDIANAPOLIS
Play Against – Road underdogs vs. the money line (NEW ORLEANS) off an upset win as a home underdog, after the first month of the season
214-63 since 1997. ( 77.3% | 0.0 units )
1-1 this year. ( 50.0% | 0.0 units )
NFL | BUFFALO at JACKSONVILLE
Play On – Underdogs vs. the 1rst half line (JACKSONVILLE) off a home loss against opponent off a home loss by 10 or more points
68-32 since 1997. ( 68.0% | 32.8 units )
1-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 1.0 units )October 23, 2015 at 10:12 am #10008
3*** NFL Teaser Sunday !!
NFL 3*** Teasers (3-1)
Eagles + 10.5 … Carolina will be in a bit of a letdown here..Panthers are a “good” team, but not great…Philly has been getting it together and a solid game from them is needed..The Philly defense is really the driver of this team..Running on this team is tough and i favor the Philly rush defense over the Carolina rush offense..Teams never do well following a Seattle game win or lose..Now off a win and coming back home after a west coast trip, i expect the Panthers to be rather flat..Philly has won two games in a row now and the Eagle team we expected is starting to take shape..If Philly can avoid the mistakes they can hang in this game for sure..I just can’t see the Panthers covering 10 points here..Philly is very live here and i disagree with the line that is posted..I made my number Philly +2..So i feel very good getting over a key number of 10 here…Philly running game has been getting it going and the offensive line played very well last week..The O-line and D-Line is healthy and Connor Barwin was a stud last week..I think he can get to Cam Newton and really limit the Panthers in this game on the ground, and in the Panther pass protection for Newton…Don’t take the Panthers win over Seattle as a big deal..Seattle on offense stinks..It was only a matter of time before they really surfaced..Eagles have way to many weapons here for the Panthers defense to really dial in on…Panthers WR core isn’t all that special..Newton and Carolina had a full two weeks to game plan for the Seahawks using all the options..Now with the bye week behind them, look for the Panthers passing game to struggle here..Philly is very live in this game and grabbing +10.5 looks very solid IMO.
Oakland +11 .. We get a division game and the Raiders coming off a bye..We just talked about setting up a game plan after the bye week for the Panthers..It worked for them and should work here for a team like the Raiders..Key factor in this game is the emotional letdown for the Chargers..Tough game in GB and they came up short at the end of the day..All the Chargers need to do is win the game here..So grabbing +11 with Oakland looks good..The SD pass offense is rather predictable now..The O-Line is shot and Rivers is throwing everything quick…I predict the Raiders get a pick 6 here with the added prep time…Raiders on offense and defense will be healthy..I can’t say the same for the Chargers..They suffered a few injuries and two that might hurt them this week..RB Gordon goes down and WR Keenan Allen comes up lame as well last week..These are two of the Chargers top guys…Oliver got some touches last week, but overall the Chargers have a ton of moving pieces..It was a long trip back home for San Diego i’m sure..The Raiders have an offense with Carr, Murray, Crabtree and Cooper..I look for Oakland to be live in this game as well..I like teasing up my dogs when i think they have a 50% chance to win outright..Give me the +11, this game will be razor close and the Chargers are dull in this one…Raiders off a bye in a divsion game seeking a win with an improved ball club..I like it !!October 23, 2015 at 10:15 am #10009
Late Look money-move info from London
Bills and Jaguars
Sharp Money Play – UNDER 41
** early kick at Wembley Stadium.
October 23, 2015 at 10:16 am #10010
- This reply was modified 7 years, 4 months ago by admin.
Amazing Wager Picks
NFL week 7
NY Giants -3.5
NY Jets +9
Dallas / NY Giants – Over 45
Houston / Miami – Over 44.5
Philadelphia / Carolina – Under 46October 23, 2015 at 10:16 am #10011
3* NFL FAVORITE OF THE MONTH!
St. Louis Rams-6October 23, 2015 at 10:23 am #10018
5* Houston Texans+4October 23, 2015 at 10:24 am #10019
Lock – NY Jets +9October 23, 2015 at 10:24 am #10020
NFL Totals POW – Saints / Colts – Over 51.5October 23, 2015 at 10:24 am #10021
BIG AL MCMORDIE
3* Dallas Cowboys +3.5
5* NFL Conference Game of the Month!
Kansas City Chiefs
October 23, 2015 at 2:37 pm #10091
- This reply was modified 7 years, 4 months ago by admin.
**** NFL GAME OF THE YEAR ****
8* Take #475/476 Baltimore Ravens vs. Arizona Cardinals – Over 48 (8:30 PM, Monday, October 26, ESPN)
Two teams that have been trending to the over will meet on Monday night when the Baltimore Ravens travel west to take on the Arizona Cardinals at the University of Phoenix Stadium in Glendale, AZ. The Ravens have posted a 5-2-1 record to the over in their last eight games where they faced a team with a winning record and they have gone over the posted total in 9-3-1 to the over in their last 13 road games where they faced a team with a winning record at home.
The Cardinals have also been an over team in the spot they are in here tonight as they have gone a perfect 4-0 to the over in their last four home games and they have gone 6-1 to the over in their last seven games overall. Throw in the fact that Arizona has been able to bounce back after a poor offensive showing, going 36-15 to the over in their last 51 games after they scored 15 points or less in their previous contest and that’s where we’ll have our play in a game that we see turning into a shoot-out between the Ravens and Cardinals on Monday Night Football, giving us a big winner in our 8-Unit NFL Total of the Year!
3 Unit Play. Take #452 Jacksonville Jaguars +4 over Buffalo Bills (9:30 AM, Sunday, October 25, Yahoo Streaming)
Hold your nose and take the points when the Buffalo Bills take on the Jacksonville Jaguars on Sunday morning at Wembley Stadium in London. With each passing week, things seem to be getting worse in Buffalo as the team has been decimated by injuries and plagued with penalties through the first six weeks of the season. Starting QB Tyrod Taylor missed the team’s last game, a loss to Cincinnati and we’re not ready to lay points with E.J. Manuel by any stretch of the imagination. Despite their 1-5 record, the Jaguars have actually been pretty good in the spot they are in here on Sunday morning. They have posted a 4-1 ATS record in their last five games following an ATS loss and they have covered in five of their last seven games versus a team from the AFC. The Bills, on the other hand, have struggled a bit in the spot they are in here on Sunday as they have gone just 1-9 ATS in their last ten games following a double digit loss at home. It should also be noted that the Bills have a bye on deck and then three games in a row against AFC East teams so they may be looking past the Jags here this week. Throw in the fact that the underdog has gone 7-1-1 in the Bills last nine games and we’ll take the points with Jacksonville in a game that we think they have a legitimate shot to win outright across the pond in London.
4 Unit Play. Take #459/460 New York Jets vs. New England Patriots Over 48 (1:00 PM, Sunday, October 25)
Two teams that have been trending to the over will meet on Sunday afternoon when the New York Jets travel to take on the New England Patriots at Gillette Stadium in Foxboro, MA. The Jets have posted a 16-7 record to the over in their last 23 road games versus a team with a losing record at home and they have gone an excellent 11-3 to the over after scoring 30 points or more in their previous contest. The Patriots have been an over team as well in the spot they are in here on Sunday afternoon as they have gone 23-9 to the over in their last 32 games where they faced an AFC East Division rival and they have gone 7-1 to the over in their last eight home games against a team with a winning record on the road. Throw in the fact that these two teams have played to a 9-2-1 record to the over in their last 12 head to head meetings and that’s where we’ll have our play as we see both teams being able to score at will on Sunday afternoon in New England.
6 Unit Play. Take # 463 Atlanta Falcons -5 over Tennessee Titans (1:00 PM, Sunday, October 25)
The Atlanta Falcons will look to bounce back from their first loss of the season when they travel to take on the Tennessee Titans at Nissan Stadium in Nashville, TN on Sunday afternoon. Despite their loss to the Saints last Thursday, the Falcons have been pretty good in the spot they are in here on Sunday as they have gone 4-1 ATS in their last five games following a straight up loss and they have that same 4-1 ATS record in their last five road games. The Titans, on the other hand, have really struggled in the situation they find themselves in here on Sunday. They have gone just 7-20-2 ATS in their last 29 home games and they have covered just six of their last twenty-six games following a straight up loss. Throw in the fact that the Falcons have had ten days to prepare for what we think in one of the worst coached teams in the NFL and we’ll lay the points with them on the road to get the bounce back win and cover over the Titans.
3 Unit Play. Take #465/466 Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Washington Redskins Over 42.5 (1:00 PM, Sunday, October 25)
Two teams that have been trending to the over will meet on Sunday afternoon when they Tampa Bay Buccaneers travel to take on the Washington Redskins at FedEx Field in Landover, MD. The Bucs have posted a 5-1 record to the over after scoring 30 points or more in their previous game and they have gone 13-3 to the over in their last 16 games played in the month of October dating back to the 2012 season. The Redskins have also been an over team in the spot they are in here on Sunday as they have gone 8-2-1 to the over in their last 11 games after they allowed more than 150 rushing yards in their previous contest. Throw in the fact that we have two QB’s in Winston and Cousins that are prone to the turnover on their own side of the 50 yard line and we’ll play the over in a game that our numbers have being played in the low 50’s on Sunday in Washington.
4 Unit Play. Take #471/472 Dallas Cowboys vs. New York Giants Over 45 (4:25 PM, Sunday, October 25)
Two teams that have been trending to the over will meet late Sunday afternoon when the Dallas Cowboys travel to Met Life Stadium in East Rutherford, NJ to take on the New York Giants. The Giants have posted a 5-2 record to the over in their last seven games versus a NFC East division rival and they have gone an excellent 7-3 to the over in their last ten games following a straight up loss. The Cowboys have been an over team as well in the spot they are in here on Sunday as they have gone 7-3 to the over in their last ten road games. Throw in the fact that these two teams have played to a 15-5-1 record to the over in their last 21 head to head meetings, including going 9-3-1 to the over in New York and that’s where we’ll have our play in a game where two bad defensive units are going to have a hard time stopping two offensive units that should be able to move the ball at will on Sunday afternoon in North Jersey.
3 Unit Play. Take #473 Philadelphia Eagles +3 over Carolina Panthers (8:30 PM, Sunday, October 25, NBC)
The Philadelphia Eagles will look to extend their winning streak to three games when they travel to take on the Carolina Panthers at Bank of America Stadium in Charlotte, NC on Sunday night. The Eagles, who have back to back wins over the Saints and Giants, have been pretty good in the spot they are in here on Sunday night as they have gone 4-1 ATS in their last five head to head meetings with the Panthers. While Carolina comes into the game with a perfect 5-0 record, four of those wins have come against the Jaguars, Texans, Saints and Bucs and they haven’t looked all that dominant in any of them. Throw in the scheduling dynamic in play here for Philadelphia as the Panthers come into the game off a big road win at Seattle and we’ll take the points with the Eagles in this one in a game we think they win outright, handing the Panthers their first loss of the 2015 season.October 23, 2015 at 2:38 pm #10093
5-Unit Play. Take #460 New England -9 over NY Jets (Sunday, October 25 at 1:00 PM ET)
Take New England -9 as my 5-Unit NFL Smash for Sunday afternoon. This pick falls into one of my top NFL systems and the Patriots are the superior overall team here Sunday. The Jets are very fortunate to even have a winning record this season and if you watched their games closely the Colts and Browns basically handed them the win. Now they face by far the best team in
the NFL and also one of the better defensive teams. The Jets have the 28th ranked strength of schedule in the NFL and if Brady can protect the football they get blown out by 20+ points here Sunday. The Jets are 3-10-1 ATS in their last 14 games after allowing less than 90 yards on the ground in their previous game and they are just 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games after passing for more than 250 yards in their previous game. The Patriots are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 home games when playing a team that has a winning record on the road and there is really no contest here Sunday with the Patriots at home. Despite the Jets 4-1 record this is a bad Jets team and they get exposed as just that here Sunday.
Play New England with extreme confidence. New York Jets 14 New England 31
5-Unit Play. Take #462 Detroit +2.5 over Minnesota (Sunday, October 25 at 1:00 PM ET)
Take Detroit ATS over Minnesota as my 5-Unit NFL Bookie Buster for Sunday afternoon. This pick falls into one of my top NFL systems and we are getting good value here with a Lions team that I have winning outright by 7 points here at home Sunday. The Vikings have one of the worst offensive teams in the NFL ranked 31st in total yards offensively and 31st in passing yards. If you can stop the run you can beat the Vikings and Detroit just held the Bears to 91 rushing yards last week, who rank 10th in the NFL for rushing yards. (The Vikings rank 14th for total rushing yards). Detroit will have a solid plan this time around to stop Minnesota’s run game after facing them already this season and allowing 199 rushing yards. Detroit’s offense is finally starting to click and they have the 4th most passing yards in the NFL. You can throw the Lions 1-5 record out the window as they have had a legitimate chance to win every game this season (with the exception of the 28 point 2nd quarter by Arizona thanks to 6 turnovers) but some unlucky breaks have cost them. Detroit lost by 10 points to the Vikings on the road win week 2, however that was a game they should have and could have won. Penalties cost the Lions that game along with 3 crucial turnovers. The Lions are out for revenge and they win this game at home Sunday by a minimum of 7 points.
Play Detroit with extreme confidence. Minnesota 17 Detroit 24
October 23, 2015 at 2:40 pm #10095
- This reply was modified 7 years, 4 months ago by admin.
7-Unit Play. Take #463 Atlanta (-5) over Tennessee (1 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 25)
Note: This play is from the NFL 411 System.
This game is a mismatch! I had this spread at 7.5. There is a ton of value in this play. The Titans have lost four straight since their opening week win over a bad Tampa Bay team. Tennessee was blown out by Miami last week. And that is not a very good Miami team either. Titans coach Marcus Mariota hurt his knee in that game and won’t be 100 percent this week. He may not even play. And if he does he won’t be able to move in the pocket. Mariota is already struggling through some rookie growing pains. And Falcons coach Dan Quinn is going to have some wrinkles to throw at the young signal caller. The Falcons are looking to bounce back after a tough loss at New Orleans last Thursday.
They have had a few extra days to get ready for this one and I think that Quinn will make good use of it. The Falcons have a big advantage at the quarterback position and on defense. They already have wins on the road against the Giants and the Cowboys. Tennessee hasn’t won at home at all yet this year and they don’t have a big home field advantage. The Titans are just 7-20 ATS in their last 27 home games and they are 15-36 ATS against teams that are above .500. This is a bad team with bad coaching and the Falcons should score a blowout win here.October 23, 2015 at 2:41 pm #10096
8-Unit Play. #468. Take Indianapolis -4.5 over New Orleans (Sunday @ 1pm est)
You think the Colts are tired of hearing about the bothced trick play a thousand times? Of course they are. And the sad thing is the Colts are a good team. This is a 3-3 squad that has gotten its pride hurt on national television, over and over again for the week. How best to get it out of the news cycle? Win big. And the Saints might be the remedy. They were the remedy for the Eagles who routed them 39-17 on the same line of -4.5 and we believe they could be the remedy here for the Colts. The Colts also remember the 62-7 loss at the hands of this team back in 2011 – at least Isray and the brass will remember it somewhat. But, per the Colts, this is a team that has faced some tough teams and had a brutal schedule to open. This includes losing to the Patriots by a touchdown, facing the Jets, the Bills on the road and now face a Saints team who come off a huge win over the Falcons at home.
This is a let down spot for the Saints similar to their big win against the Cowboys on Monday Night Football and then laying an egg at Philadelphia before winning on national television once again against the Falcons on primetime. Now, another let down likely ensues. We like the Colts and their to get back on track on defense particularly after the loss to the Patriots and giving up 34 points, we like the Saints to struggle to score points after a big performance against Atlanta and overall, we like the Colts to play with a great sense of urgency to avoid going to 3-4 and rather 4-3 while getting last week’s bitter taste of New England out of their mouth. This is also a game for these players to stand behind their coach as well. What better way to show support for Pagano than win big against a New Orleans team that comes off a big win and likely in for a let down.
- You must be logged in to reply to this topic.