- October 23, 2015 at 8:47 am #9968
Lanus + Boca Juniors – UNDER 2.5
This match is happening in Argentina
(System Record: 836-26, won last 3 games)
Overall Record: 836-676-132October 23, 2015 at 8:48 am #9969
CFL Betting Notes – Week 18
By David Schwab
Week 17 of the CFL regular season is in the books and in an amazing turnaround from a two-win season as a new expansion team, the Ottawa RedBlacks became the third team to clinch a playoff spot with Friday’s 27-24 victory against Winnipeg; however they could not cover as four-point home favorites.
Saturday’s CFL double-header started with Calgary hammering Toronto 27-15 as a one-point road underdog followed by Edmonton’s 26-23 victory against British Columbia as an 8 ½- point favorite at home. These wins kept the two front-runners in the West tied at the top the standings.
Hamilton closed things out on Sunday with a 23-11 victory against Montreal as a three-point road favorite and in the process the Tiger-Cats also clinched a playoff spot.
Friday, Oct. 23
Montreal Alouettes (5-10 SU, 6-8-1 ATS) vs. Toronto Argonauts (9-6 SU, 8-7 ATS)
Point-spread: Toronto -8
Last week’s loss was Montreal’s fourth in a row both straight-up and against the spread, but even at 5-10 it still has a good chance to clinch the final CFL playoff spot in the West Division as a crossover team from the East, but it is going to have to start winning some games. That could be a tall task for newly acquired quarterback Kevin Glenn leading an offense that has averaged just 16.5 points a game during this current four-game slide.
Toronto actually clinched a playoff spot with the Alouettes’ loss on Sunday, but it also needs to regain some momentum after its recent three-game winning streak both SU and ATS came to an end. Argonauts’ quarterback Trevor Harris needs to do a better job throwing the ball after completing 59 percent of his 44 attempts in Saturday’s loss with one touchdown throw and three interceptions.
Montreal is 5-0 both SU and ATS in its last five road games against Toronto and the total has stayed UNDER in the last five meetings overall. Two weeks ago, the Argonauts drew first blood in the season series with a 25-17 win as 1 ½-point road favorites.
Hamilton Tiger-Cats (10-5 SU, 11-4 ATS) vs. British Columbia Lions (5-10 SU, 8-7 ATS)
Point-spread: Hamilton -1 ½
Total: 50 ½
The Tiger-Cats have to be happy with Sunday’s win given their current injury situation and while it looks like they will have the go the rest of the way with Jeff Mathews at quarterback, a few key personnel rejoined the lineup including wide receiver Andy Fantuz. He caught two of Mathews’ 21 completions against Montreal for 16 yards.
BC is also in line for that last playoff spot, but its current form paints a bleak future with just one SU win in its last six games. The Lions have gone 4-2 ATS during this slide and the total has gone OVER in their last five games. They have averaged 24.2 points a game on offense, but that has not been able to keep pace with a defense that is allowing 28 points a game.
Hamilton has covered ATS in five of its last six road games against the Lions, but BC has a 14-4 SU edge in the last 18 meetings here. The Tiger-Cats won the first meeting this year 52-22 as 8 ½-point home favorites on Aug. 15.
Saturday, Oct. 24
Ottawa RedBlacks (9-6 SU, 9-6 ATS) vs. Winnipeg Blue Bombers (5-11 SU, 8-7-1 ATS)
Point-spread: Ottawa -1
Total: 50 ½
Ottawa still has serious designs on a worst to first finish in the East with a SU 5-2 run in its last seven games. It has now failed to cover in three of its last four contests with the total staying OVER in four of its last five games. The dramatic turnaround from being the most anemic offense in the league last season can be heavily attributed to the inspired play of veteran quarterback Henry Burris, who leads the CFL with 4,735 passing yards.
The Blue Bombers are the third team still in contention for one last postseason berth, but much like the other two contenders (BC and Montreal) they appear to be backing into a spot with one SU win in their last five games. Winnipeg has been able to cover in four-straight outings and the total has gone OVER in four of its last five games.
This is the back-end of a current home-and-home series between these inter-division foes. Last season, the series was split with each team winning both SU and ATS at home. The total went OVER in both games.
Edmonton Eskimos (12-4 SU, 9-7 ATS) vs. Saskatchewan Roughriders (2-13 SU, 4-11 ATS)
Point-spread: Edmonton -9
Edmonton has the best momentum of any CFL team heading into the final few weeks of the regular season. Last week’s win was its sixth-straight, but it has gone 3-3 ATS during this run. The total went OVER the 47 ½-point closing line against BC and it has now gone OVER in three of its last four games. The Eskimos still have the stingiest defense in the league with a points-allowed average of 18.4 a game.
The Roughriders are not officially eliminated from playoff contention at 2-13, but they have been riding out the string for quite some time now. Coming off of last week’s bye, they are 1-4 both SU and ATS in their last five games with the total going OVER in four of their last six contests. Saskatchewan has easily had the most porous defense this year with an average of 30.8 points allowed.
Edmonton has covered in seven of its last 10 road games against Saskatchewan and the total has stayed UNDER in four of the last five meetings here. The Eskimos won the first matchup this season 30-5 on July 31 as 9 ½-point home favorites.October 23, 2015 at 8:49 am #9970
StatFox Super Situations™ – FoxSheets
CFL | EDMONTON at SASKATCHEWAN
Play On – Home teams (SASKATCHEWAN) after failing to cover the spread in 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games, with a losing record
68-28 since 1997. ( 70.8% | 37.2 units )
4-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 4.0 units )
CFL | EDMONTON at SASKATCHEWAN
Play On – Home teams vs. the money line (SASKATCHEWAN) after failing to cover the spread in 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games, terrible team, winning 25% or less of their games, in the second half of the season
23-12 since 1997. ( 65.7% | 0.0 units )
CFL | OTTAWA at WINNIPEG
Play Against – Road underdogs vs. the 1rst half line (OTTAWA) after covering the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games, good team, winning 60-75% or more of their games, in the second half of the season
28-4 since 1997. ( 87.5% | 23.6 units )
2-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 2.0 units )October 23, 2015 at 9:01 am #9980
Week 18 games
Montreal (5-10) vs Toronto (9-6) (@ Hamilton) — Alouettes lost last four games, scoring 15 ppg last three; they’re 2-5 on road- their last road win was over TiCats here eight weeks ago. Toronto is 3-1 in last four games, losing here to Calgary last week; they’re 3-2 as favorites this year. Teams split last 12 meetings with home side losing nine of last 10- this is neutral site, albeit in Ontario (Jays are playing at same time in KC). Six of last nine Montreal games stayed under total; over is 5-3 in last eight Toronto tilts. Last five series games stayed under the total.
Hamilton (10-5) @ BCLions (5-10) — TiCats (-9) crushed Lions 52-22 in Week 8; it was 31-10 at half; home side won last five series games- Hamilton lost last three visits here, by 3-3-7 points. Four of last five series games went over total. BC lost five of last six games; they lost three of last four home games but are 5-2 vs spread as an underdog. TiCats are 9-3 since a 1-2 start; they won/covered last four road games, with all four wins by 8+ points. Six of last seven Hamilton games stayed under total; last five BC games went over.
Ottawa (9-6) @ Winnipeg (5-11) — RedBlacks (-4.5) edged Winnipeg 27-24 at home LW, after leading 16-0 at half; home side won all three series games. Ottawa (+4) lost 36-28 here LY. RedBlacks ae 5-2 in last seven games; they’re 3-3 SU on road (4-2 vs spread)- this is their first road game since Sept 19, due to Blue Jays making baseball playoffs. Blue Bombers lost four of last five games but covered five of last six; they lost last two home games by total of three points. Over is 3-1-1 in Winnipeg’s last five games, 8-3 in Ottawa’s last eleven games.
Edmonton (12-4) @ Saskatchewan (2-13) — Eskimos (-10) hammered Riders 30-5 in Week 6, fifth win for Edmonton in last six series games. Eskimos split last six visits here; they’re 5-3 SU on road, 1-2 as road favorite- only one of their five road wins was by more than 7 points. Season is a disaster for the Roughriders, but they did win two of last three home games; they’re 2-6 SU at home, but 2-0 as home underdog. Saskatchewan allowed 76 points in losing last two games; they’re 2-5 vs spread in last seven games. Over is 3-1 in last four games for both teams.October 23, 2015 at 9:20 am #9986
LJP Football Tips
Friday 23rd October
PEC ZWOLLE VS FC UTRECHT (Holland Eredivise 7.00)
PEC ZWOLLE TO WIN & OVER 2.5 MATCH GOALS – 12/5
NANCY VS BOURG-PERONNAS (France Ligue Two 7.00)
OVER 2.5 MATCH GOALS – 23/20
TSG HOFFENHEIM VS HAMBURG (German Bundesliga 7.30)
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE & OVER 2.5 MATCH GOALS – 11/10
THE TREBLE PAYS 14/1October 23, 2015 at 10:22 am #10017
SIMON – “SOCCER GUY”
Friday October 23rd
GERMANY – 2ND BUNDESLIGA (UNDER 2.5 -111) VFL BOCHUM @ FSV FRANKFURT (1230PM)
URUGUAY – PRIMERA DIVISION (UNDER 2.5 -115) DEFENSOR SPORTING @ PLAZA COLONIA (730PM)
Saturday October 24th
GERMANY – 2ND BUNDESLIGA (UNDER 2.5 -110) 1. FC NUREMBERG @ MSV DUISBURG (7AM)
GERMANY – BUNDESLIGA (UNDER 2.5 -115) VFL WOLFSBURG @ SV DARMSTADT 98 (930AM)
SPAIN – LA LIGA (OVER 3 -118) REAL MADRID @ RC CELTA DE VIGO (10AM)
ENGLAND – LEAGUE 1 (UNDER 2.5 -127) WIGAN ATHLETIC @ BRADFORD CITY (10AM)
FRANCE – LIGUE 1 (OVER 2.5 +120) OGC NICE @ GFC AJACCIO (2PM)
BELGIUM – JUPILER LEAGUE (UNDER 2.5 +115) RS WAASLAND BEVEREN @ OUD-HEVERLEE LEUVEN (2PM)
Sunday October 25th
GERMANY – BUNDESLIGA (OVER 3.5 -110) FC AUGSBURG @ BORUSSIA DORTMUND (1030AM)October 23, 2015 at 12:26 pm #10039
SIG Las Vegas
Today’s selections @Keeneland
10. 3-1-4October 23, 2015 at 2:04 pm #10086
BELMONT PARK #8 at 04:50 PM Eastern
Top Pick: #3 (REQUEST) (7-2) – This race is loaded with long-winded types headed by this strong finisher. No-speed type has been competitive in all five starts in 2015 after returning from a 6 1/2 month layoff May 13. In shape and $400K filly by ‘Dynaformer’ gets a slight edge.
2nd Pick: #7 (Fire Away) (4-1) – Phipp’s colt is beautifully bred and was a ‘head’ in front of ‘Request’ here at this level going 10-furlongs Sept 26. That earned him a career best figure and this son of ‘War Front’ has worked fast since. A strong win candidate.
3rd Pick: #1 (Boss Man) (8-1) – A three-time winner, he’s moving up in class and stretching out in distance. Speed/stalker is consistent and was a winner here going seven furlongs for a $50K tag Oct 8. Fits on figures and he has a shot at a square price.
4th Pick: #6 (Good Response) (3-1) – Freshened up since Aug 29, Godolphin home-bred has improved noticeably since coming off a seven week freshening July 1. He has more positional speed than most and was less than a length behind ‘Fire Away’ the last time they met.October 23, 2015 at 2:52 pm #10100
SHARP MOVES – NBAx
Steam Rot#: 759 Team: Dallas/Chicago OVER 202
Steam Rot#: 763 Team: Milwaukee/Minnesota OVER 200
Steam Rot#: 763 Team: Milwaukee -3-115
Steam Rot#: 757 Team: Washington/Toronto OVER 206½
Steam Rot#: 757 Team: Toronto -3
Steam Rot#: 751 Team: Memphis -4½-130
Steam Rot#: 751 Team: Memphis/Orlando UNDER 186½October 23, 2015 at 6:38 pm #10161
RickJ’s Handicapping Picks – NBAx
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