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- September 11, 2015 at 7:38 pm #3433
Mayweather – UNDER 11.5 rounds +175September 11, 2015 at 8:25 pm #3435
CFL Betting Notes – Week 12
By David Schwab
Saskatchewan Roughriders (1-9 SU, 3-7 ATS) vs. Winnipeg Blue Bombers (3-7 SU, 3-6-1 ATS)
Point-spread: Saskatchewan -1
Total: 51 ½
The Roughriders drew first blood in this two-game series behind a solid performance by quarterback Brett Smith, who is filling in as a third-string replacement. He completed 19-of-25 passes for 211 yards and a score. He also added 59 yards on the ground on seven carries. This was the first time all season that Saskatchewan’s defense held a team to fewer than 27 points.
Winnipeg turned to Brian Brohm as its starting quarterback in Sunday’s loss for the injured Drew Willy. He actually looked sharp throwing the ball by completing 21-of 26 attempts for 184 yards, but the Bombers could not make their way into the end zone through the air. He did manage to score a touchdown on the ground as part of his 22 yards rushing.
The Blue Bombers have lost four of the five meetings SU on their home field and the total has gone OVER in four of the last five meetings overall.
Calgary Stampeders (8-2 SU, 3-7 ATS) vs. Edmonton Eskimos (6-4 SU, 6-4 ATS)
Point-spread: Edmonton -2
The Stampeders’ win on Monday opened-up a two-game lead in the West Division with a chance to widen the gap even more this week. Not only do the defending champions now have the best SU record in the CFL through the first 10 games, Calgary is 3-1 ATS in its last four games after failing to cover in each of their first six contests this year.
Edmonton is still in solid shape for a spot in the CFL Playoffs, but this week is basically a must-win situation to stay in the West Division race. The Eskimos continue to boast the stoutest defense in the CFL with an average of just 18.1 points allowed, but there has to be some concern on offense after averaging just 20 points over their last four outings.
Calgary has now covered ATS in the last five meetings and the total has stayed UNDER in five of the last seven games. Edmonton has lost its last five home games against the Stampeders both SU and ATS.September 11, 2015 at 8:32 pm #3436
Premier League betting preview: Manchester United and Liverpool renew rivalry
By SOCCER AUTHORITY
The next round of Premier League fixtures is almost upon us. Covers Expert Soccer Authority breaks down what you need to know.
Everton (+320) v Chelsea (+100)
This match produced one the games of the year last season with a 6-3 scoreline. If it’s only half as entertaining as last season, we’ll be in for a treat.
Chelsea have had a poor start to the PL season with only four points picked up from four games with an average of 2.25 Goals conceded per game.
Everton have had mixed fortunes and find themselves in ninth position with five points. They will be in for a tough game this weekend considering their poor home form. The Toffee’s have failed to win their last four home games in the PL with only two goals scored.
Arsenal (-300) v Stoke (+1100)
Arsenal have won their last 11 games against Stoke when played in the Emirates stadium with only five goals conceded. You’d be hard pressed to favor Stoke in this one and that’s reflected in the bookies’ odds here.
Stoke are also winless in their last seven road games in the Premier League.
Manchester United (-105) v Liverpool (+375)
This match-up is one of the fiercest rivalries in soccer and you can bet that every player will be giving their all as they try to secure victory.
Man United have won 11 of the last 13 games against Liverpool when played in Old Trafford with an average of two goals scored per game by the Red Devils.
Liverpool are struggling this season just as they did last season. Liverpool are currently sitting in seventh position but that’s not a fair reflection of their season so far. They’ve only beaten relegation candidates Stoke and Bournemouth so far (both narrow 1-0 victories).September 11, 2015 at 9:45 pm #3441
Books asking too much money for Mayweather, better value in round props
Floyd Mayweather Jr. puts the finishing touches (maybe?) on his Hall of Fame career this weekend, facing former WBC World Champion Andre Berto at the MGM Grand Garden Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada.
Mayweather (48-0) has been criticized for the choice of Berto (30-3) as an opponent, and the books have installed him as a massive favorite, priced at -2000 currently, with the comeback on Berto at +1250.
With a line like that, can you really think to betting the outright winner market? After all, a -2,000 price tag means you must put $2,000 on the line to win back $100. And even the most confident Mayweather fans must be thinking why even bother?
However, despite the lack of value in this bout, it’s worth looking at the alternative bets for Saturday’s fight. Normally, props pop up at the books for a fight pretty close to the day of the contest, but with a fight of this magnitude, the books have a slew of betting odds up already. That’s enough time for a shrewd betttor to find some value on the table.
The round total for this bout is set at 11.5, with the Over paying -220 and the Under coming back at +180. There’s a reason why wagering on the fight to go the distance is still asking such a high price. Mayweather will use speed and prowess to elude Berto, who will swing and miss, for 12 rounds en route to a unanimous decision.
Mayweather’s last six fights have gone to the cards and the streak of fights going the distance extends itself back to December of 2007 – if you exclude Mayweather’s 2011 cheap shot KO of Victor Ortiz. He has not stopped anybody since punishing Ricky Hatton.
The big fear is that Mayweather may change his stripes and try to go out with a KO, but the fact is that’s just not his style and he won’t risk a freak KO loss by sticking his neck out there. With Berto coming in aggressive, this fight could resemble the Maidana fights, which despite the props given to the Argentine, were both decision victories by Mayweather.
Since moving up to welterweight more than eight years ago, Mayweather hasn’t shown any power to speak of, so it’s safe to say it’s going to go the distance. As of this writing, Mayweather to win by decision is paying (-193).September 12, 2015 at 7:58 am #3466
SIMON THE “SOCCER GUY”
GERMANY BUNDESLIGA – (UNDER 2.5 +110) VFL WOLFSBURG @ FC INGOLSTADT 04 (930AM)
HOLLAND – EREDIVISIE – (OVER 3 -135) PSV EINDHOVEN @ CAMBUUR LEEUWARDEN (245PM)
PERU – PRIMERA DIVISION – (UNDER 2.5 -150) INTI GAS AYACUCHO @ SPORT LORETO (645PM)
USA – MLS (OVER 3 -142) – MONTREAL IMPACT @ LOS ANGELES GALAXY (1030PM)September 12, 2015 at 9:20 am #3506
Atletico Rafaela + Belgrano Cordoba – UNDER 2.5
This match is happening in Argentina
(System Record: 814-26, won last 2 games)
Overall Record: 814-662-127September 12, 2015 at 10:01 am #3513
Super Vip Pick
Italy Serie A
Fiorentina – Genoa
1.90 PSeptember 12, 2015 at 10:02 am #3514
Spain Primera Division
Atletico vs Barcelona/Espanyol vs Real
Atletico +1/Real -1
1.95September 12, 2015 at 10:02 am #3515
Montreal vs LA Galaxy
1.81September 12, 2015 at 10:33 am #3525
StatFox Super Situations™ – FoxSheets
CFL | OTTAWA at BRITISH COLUMBIA
Play On – Underdogs or pick (OTTAWA) off 1 or more consecutive unders, in a game involving two average defensive teams (23-28 PPG) after 9 or more games
69-30 since 1997. ( 69.7% | 36.0 units )
CFL | CALGARY at EDMONTON
Play Against – Home teams vs. the money line (EDMONTON) after allowing 275 or less total yards in their previous game against opponent after gaining 275 or less total yards in their previous game
25-16 since 1997. ( 61.0% | 0.0 units )
1-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 0.0 units )
CFL | CALGARY at EDMONTON
Play On – Any team vs the the 1rst half line (EDMONTON) after 1 or more consecutive straight up losses against opponent after 5 or more consecutive straight up wins
41-12 since 1997. ( 77.4% | 27.8 units )September 12, 2015 at 12:41 pm #3571
FREE pick : Calgary in CFLSeptember 12, 2015 at 1:47 pm #3589
BELMONT PARK #6 at 03:40 PM Eastern
Top Pick: #4 (LONGFOR THE CITY) (6-1) – Long shot raced evenly while finishing 4th of 7, beaten 2-lengths racing at this level going 7-furlongs at Saratoga Aug 31. It was his first since July 16 and trainer Dave Jacobson brings him back quickly and adds blinkers. This 5-year-old has a good local record 9-3-2-2 and has a big shot at ‘juicy’ odds.
2nd Pick: #2 (Flag on the Play) (8-1) – Well bred gelding enters off a good looking win at Saratoga facing $50K claimers Aug 2. Speed/stalker was claimed that day by Linda Rice and this 4-year-old by ‘Bernardini’ has been competitive in three local appearances.
3rd Pick: #7 (Royal Saint) (4-1) – Very lightly-raced, he has early speed and weakened late when racing at Saratoga at this level Aug 22. It was his first start in a year and he should move forward off of it. It’s a plus that Castellano stays aboard.
4th Pick: #3 (Dekalb County) (8-5) – The morning line favorite, he’s from the Pletcher barn and is shortening up in distance. Lightly-raced 3-year-old is 2-for-3 at Belmont and should be involved from start-to-finish at a short price.
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